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Search: Posts Made By: Penguin
Forum: Books and Publications 06-10-2003, 10:35 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 83
Posted By Penguin
Help with Software/tables for showdown probabilities

I am starting to think more about blind defense, and in the process would like a better understanding of how different hands do against each other heads up.

Does anyone have suggestions about what...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 06-04-2003, 11:10 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 109
Posted By Penguin
Re: Getting 4 bet on the river!!!

Where I come from, 4 bets on the river is a very unusual event. That said, there are only 2 hands that beat you - KJ and K9.

Against most players I would call. It is more likely that they have...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 04-15-2003, 12:10 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 41
Posted By Penguin
Results

I folded. I figured that at best I was going for half the pot. So including having to call the river, I was at best getting 2:1 on my call. This didn't seem worth it considering I may already have...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 04-13-2003, 12:42 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 41
Posted By Penguin
What to do with straight on the turn?

Good 15-30. I have Ks10s UTG and call. MP, CO and B call. SB completes.
Flop is KcQdJc. Blinds check, I bet, MP folds, all call to BB who folds.
Turn is Ac. I bet my straight, CO and Button...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 03-02-2003, 11:12 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 109
Posted By Penguin
Re: A6o 20-40 cutoff steal hand

On average I check the river. I can't think of too many hands that even a fish will call with here that I have beat.
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 02-14-2003, 12:28 AM
Replies: 57
Views: 350
Posted By Penguin
Re: Sklansky 30-60 hand

I would call:
- A solid winning player and a cold caller are going to be hard to play against after the flop. There is a chance that I am already behind, and given that most flops will have...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 02-04-2003, 12:13 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 36
Posted By Penguin
Re: Folding J9s on the button w/ four-flush

Given your assumption about going to 5 bets, your flop decision is whether to put 3 bets up against a pot that will have 23 bets in it. So you're getting say 6:1.

Assume your odds of hitting the...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 02-04-2003, 11:56 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 139
Posted By Penguin
Re: Four Choices

I check with the intention of raising.

Given the description of the opponent as being slightly weak tight, his most likely holding is a K. Assuming he bets, I am going to call anyway, and I can...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 01-28-2003, 10:29 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 75
Posted By Penguin
Re: Hand No. 2 and No. 7 from Jim\'s most recent article

Hand 2: I would fold. Only getting 7:1 on a gutshot, out of position,no overcards, with possible flush. Little upside.

Hand 7: This one is more problematic. I would call the raise. There...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 01-22-2003, 11:32 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 48
Posted By Penguin
Thanks for responses so far - more feedback would really hlp

Especially since the advice so far is split!
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 01-21-2003, 10:00 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 48
Posted By Penguin
AK Overcards in 15-30 Kill - Is reraise automatic?

I'm in the cutoff in a kill hand in a good 15-30 game, somewhat looser and more aggressive than average.

UTG limps, another early player limps, killer raises, next 2 call, I call with AKo, big...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 01-16-2003, 11:27 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 142
Posted By Penguin
Re: Suggestions to fold on the River

Some of the responses have suggested that you could fold to the river bet. Getting 20:1, there is no way I fold against a typical opponent. I think there are more than 1 in 20 ways that the button...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 01-02-2003, 07:46 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 50
Posted By Penguin
Should I have listened to my Spider Sense

15-30

I have 9c10c in the small blind. There are two callers, then the button raises. The button is quite aggressive and reasonably good.

I call - there are already 3 in, and this big blind...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 12-19-2002, 11:32 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 49
Posted By Penguin
Re: River play no. 1

In thinking how I'd play this, I have to wonder if I'm a Wuss!

On the turn, I have a hard time imagining that he isn't ahead with a hand that he will want to showdown. So I don't see any value to...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 12-19-2002, 11:19 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 74
Posted By Penguin
Re: River hand no. 2

Close decision - therefore player dependent as you say.

Against most players at 15-30 here in Calgary, my default would be to check, because if they called the turn with a pair, they're going to...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 12-19-2002, 11:05 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 48
Posted By Penguin
Re: River play No. 3

I check and call.

I see no hope of getting a better hand to fold - e.g. a middle pair. If he called the turn with it, he's calling the river.

There are not too many hands I would expect to...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-29-2002, 06:25 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 38
Posted By Penguin
Re: A simple question

First a disclaimer: The highest I've paid is 15-30 (Canadian!).

The best play is to fold. Although the game conditions you describe do increase the possibility of picking up the blinds, I think...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-20-2002, 11:23 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 68
Posted By Penguin
Thanks Everyone for the Discussion and Advice - Penguin.

Both the advice and the discussion have helped a lot.

Peter
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-19-2002, 12:35 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 64
Posted By Penguin
Re: Thin river value bet with second pair on scary board?

I would check and probably call.
My experience with loose, passive, unimaginative is that once 2 of them call the turn bet, I become concerned about a passively played 10 (maybe awful kicker). I...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-19-2002, 12:25 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 68
Posted By Penguin
Are These BAAAD Preflop Raises?

Here are two preflop raises I made in a 'normal' 15-30 game. I was chatting with a player whose play I respect and he thought both these raises were bad - not even marginal! What do you think?
...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-10-2002, 04:09 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 99
Posted By Penguin
Re: Results

Let's say he figures you for a K (or less) after you checkraise and you call his 3 bet. He may have reason to believe you will fold on the turn to his bet.

So from his perspective, he is giving a...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-10-2002, 01:28 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 99
Posted By Penguin
Re: $100-$200 Hand

Check and call.

As you say, there is a possibility that the flop 3 bet was for a free card, and that is given more credence by the check behind on the turn.

However, with you checking twice,...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 11-10-2002, 01:08 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 42
Posted By Penguin
Re: Preflop Play

MBE - I agree with your play of reraising, unless you know the raiser would not adjust his play for a straddle. With the straddle in there, the raiser could (should?) be raising with a wide variety...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 10-30-2002, 01:52 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 104
Posted By Penguin
Question re Flop Check

As a few others have noted (but not the majority), I would have raised the flop.

As you note, there is a very good chance that the BB has nothing. I would also figure there is a good chance my...
Forum: Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em 10-16-2002, 12:59 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 39
Posted By Penguin
Results

I called SB's river bet with 33 on a board of
10d 10s 7d Jd 5c.

SB had AK (no diamonds), so I won.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 28

 
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