#1
|
|||
|
|||
Is this semi-bluff +EV?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $50 NL (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> <font color="#C00000">MP : (Villain)/ ($45.45)</font> CO ($42.01) Button ($54.25) SB ($40.31) BB ($21.90) <font color="#C00000">Hero ($63.83)</font> Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, MP : (Villain)/ calls $2, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>. Flop: ($4.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4</font>, Villain calls $4. Turn: ($12.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Villain bets $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, Villain calls $3. River: ($24.75) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, Villain... Villain is loose-passive (77/13/0.80), I put him on a King. Is this +EV? Feel free to analyze any streets. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Is this semi-bluff +EV?
If you really want to try and take this pot down raise the turn to 12. He isnt folding to the minraise and most players are less likely to fold to a river bluff because they do not have to call anymore bets.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Is this semi-bluff +EV?
No basically.
A player with those numbers is so horrible that attempting to bluff them off hands is always going to be counter productive. I doubt he even folds a K often enough to make this a good bet never mind if he has an A/6 |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Is this semi-bluff +EV?
This isn't exactly a semi-bluff, you're only really drawing to a third Queen.
Especially if villain is loose-passive, you're only throwing chips away in my opinion. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Is this semi-bluff +EV?
No offense, but the 4th st. check-raise was pretty weak.
Why do you put him on a King? Although a King is possible, so is an Ace or a Middle Pocket Pair (99-77) I think you should be going for a cheap showdown at the River because there's a chance you're best (uncertain as it may be). The villain looks like he has a high WTSD%, making it unlikely to induce a fold. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Is this semi-bluff +EV?
First of all, this isn't a semi-bluff. A semi-bluff is when you bet/raise without a made hand (i.e., you have nothing), but you have a decent chance of making the best hand in the future.
As for whether or not its +EV... [ QUOTE ] Villain is loose-passive (77/13/0.80 [/ QUOTE ] and [ QUOTE ] I put him on a King [/ QUOTE ] Save a play like this for an opponent who will fold marginal hands, not one who will pay you off with mid pairs. |
|
|