John Kerry have any chance at all at Presidency?

[Taxman]

I'm glad two people on this board can admit it [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]. I on the other hand know exactly what I'm talking about ..... and it's not much [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img].

[Taxman]

[ QUOTE ]
And there are of course interesting twists to the election such as: is it possible the "guvanator" can deliver California to the Republicans? If so, lights out for the democrats.


[/ QUOTE ]

Nah, Arnold isn't even all that conservative. Fiscally he may like some of Bush's policies, but I have a hard time believing that he would deliver California to the Republicans, even should he voice support for Bush. Stranger things have hapened though I suppose (and after all we did elected Nixon and Reagan here in sunny CA).

[Taxman]

Why?

[Sleepy Weasel]

[ QUOTE ]
Agreed. In 1996, Dole was beating Clinton in the polls. In 1984, Mondale was beating Reagan in the polls. In both situations, the challenger was high in public popularity due to locking up the nomination. But, when Election Day came, people voted for the incumbent of a good economy.
...
I think 2004 will be a lot like 1984 and 1996.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't you think maybe 1992 would be a better parallel?

Plus I'm not convinced the economy is going to get much better by november (of course I have no idea what I'm talking about there)

[Redhot_man]

cant wait to see how that plays out, guess he missed the 84' election.

[CrackerZack]

Ah...one of the perils of living in NY. I could vote, but why? Kerry will take NY handily. Maybe I'll actually do it anyway to feel more american.

[TripDuck]

Thinking about this more and more, I think Bush wins. Look at the mid term elections. The entire country is trending Republican. Heck, Minnesota (my home state) has voted for the Democratic nominee since, like, the dawn of time and I do not think it will vote for Kerry come November. So, I think Bush wins big in November unless things get much worse than they are now, or some nasty photos come out of George and an intern.

[daryn]

please please please...

i don't often get involved in these political debates, but you'd be amazed that there are supposedly intelligent people out there in the world that don't know the difference between a mistake and a lie.

if you give me information, and i trust you.. then i pass that information to someone else, and it turns out the info was bogus, I AM NOT A LIAR, I JUST MADE A MISTAKE.

bush made mistakes, obviously! liar? no.

[daryn]

living in massachusetts is basically the same deal. why vote?

[Ed Miller]

living in massachusetts is basically the same deal. why vote?

In 2000, I did it for the satisfaction of knowing that I voted against Ted Kennedy. I guess you won't have that option, though...