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  #11  
Old 12-06-2003, 05:05 PM
WillMagic WillMagic is offline
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Location: Cupertino, CA (formerly DC)
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Default Re: Blew it on the River?

Betting the river seems like the best course of action. I didn't see this at first, but now that you mention it, it's definitely superior to your other options.

Will
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  #12  
Old 12-06-2003, 06:06 PM
Brian Brian is offline
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Default Re: Blew it on the River?

Hi Chesspain and others,

I do not think that this would have been a good opportunity to raise pre-Flop. As I mentioned in my original post, the BB was a pretty loose player, so I think it's pretty likely he would have called my raise; however, even if I thought there was only about a 25% chance he'd call my raise, I still wouldn't do it. I had no read on the EP limper, and at best I am probably only a slight favorite over him. If he has any idea how to use his position well, then I could easily get myself into trouble by raising. I would only raise here if the conditions were pretty close to perfect, meaning a tight BB and a weak limper who gives up easily on the Flop.

-Brian
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  #13  
Old 12-06-2003, 06:10 PM
LJH LJH is offline
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Default Re: Blew it on the River?

BRIAN. I DO NOT KNOW WHY YOU KEPT BETTING WITH AN UNMADE HAND, BUT YOU DID BLOW IT BY ASKING FOR A BLUF AND THEN FOLDING. LJH
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  #14  
Old 12-06-2003, 06:18 PM
Brian Brian is offline
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Default Re: Blew it on the River?

Hi LJH,

The bet on the Flop was a semi-bluff, and was a great spot to do so IMO. The pot is very small and without many draws, so unless someone Flopped a pair, I am very likely to pick up the pot. And, even if I am called, I have 5 outs to improve + backdoor Flush potential.

On the Turn, I had indeed improved, and now likely had 15 outs to improve on the next card. Some people will call with anything, so I decided to semi-bluff again. Would you check and call here? I think that betting is *MUCH* better than check-calling. So I did.

On the River, I decided to give up my hand. He called my semi-bluffs twice, and while I do have a pair to take to the showdown, I did not think that the pot size, 6bb, was worth it. I did not think he would be bluffing 1 in 7 times, which is what I would need to make my call profitable.

-Brian
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