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  #11  
Old 03-29-2005, 03:16 PM
wuwei wuwei is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

[ QUOTE ]
Thast what I am trying to get at. Is it possible for em to ba a losing player at Sng's but a winning player at NL ring games. I knoow it IS possible but is it common?

[/ QUOTE ]

Possible, but it seems unlikely. You need experience and understanding of specific sng situations, specifically bubble play and then shorthanded play.

I think it's generally accepted that SNGs have smaller variance than other forms of poker, but that doesn't mean that which we shall not speak of cannot happen. It does. You can still run bad.
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  #12  
Old 03-29-2005, 03:17 PM
etgryphon etgryphon is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

[ QUOTE ]
If you win the next 2 you play your ROI will be above 5%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Exactly, Win 1 and you will have + ROI.

-Gryph
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  #13  
Old 03-29-2005, 03:18 PM
citanul citanul is offline
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Posts: 64
Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

your game clearly needs work.

as does between brain and posting sphinctor. or perhaps you just need to learn to use the search function.

in response to the question: is it possible i am a good winning player, no i doubt that very strongly that at the moment you are a "good" winning player. and well, as you have won nothing, you're not a winning player yet either.

i don't know what stakes you were making $3/100 hands at the nl, but it's likely that that is a very poor rate for that game as well. that game probably needs some work too.

citanul
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  #14  
Old 03-29-2005, 03:26 PM
lorinda lorinda is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

Your ring game stats were small enough that it would not surprise me at all if you had initial problems in SNGs.

Lori
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  #15  
Old 03-29-2005, 03:43 PM
Mr_J Mr_J is offline
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Posts: 639
Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

"or do I need to do some mroe work on my game"

Everyone's game can improve. It's silly not to work on your game unless you are happy with where you are at.
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  #16  
Old 03-29-2005, 04:14 PM
assron assron is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

agreed w/ citanul, 3/100 isnt very good for NL ring on party.
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  #17  
Old 03-29-2005, 04:27 PM
lorinda lorinda is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

i don't know what stakes you were making $3/100 hands at the nl,

There is no NL game on party where this is a good rate.

Lori
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  #18  
Old 03-29-2005, 04:38 PM
citanul citanul is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

[ QUOTE ]
i don't know what stakes you were making $3/100 hands at the nl,

There is no NL game on party where this is a good rate.

Lori

[/ QUOTE ]

yah,

i don't play nl ring pretty much anywhere, but if the guy was playing like .02/.04 nl on someplace, eh, he's probably making an ok rate at $3/100. so i decided to be "nice." or something.

citanul
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  #19  
Old 03-29-2005, 05:02 PM
eastbay eastbay is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

After 500 games, you have at most a 50% chance of being within +/-5% of your true ROI.

After 1000 games, you have at most a 2/3 chance of being within +/-5% of your true ROI.

After 3000 games, you have at most a 90% chance of being within +/-5% of your true ROI.

eastbay
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  #20  
Old 03-29-2005, 05:19 PM
ForumBot ForumBot is offline
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Default Re: Are SnG\'s the worst way to play with variance?

fold
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