KK in SB - UGLY flop

[Hojglad]

I assume that you agree it's a good fold when it's three back to me on the flop though, right?

[einbert]

[ QUOTE ]
I assume that you agree it's a good fold when it's three back to me on the flop though, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah definitely. By then you have determined that the chance someone holds an ace is quite high, so your estimated pot equity is something like 3%. Not worth sticking around for.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Board: Ac 8c 5c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 03.2058 % [ 00.03 00.00 ] { KsKd }
Hand 2: 39.5974 % [ 00.39 00.01 ] { AKs-A2s, AKo-A2o }
Hand 3: 10.2337 % [ 00.10 00.01 ] { random }
Hand 4: 10.2267 % [ 00.10 00.01 ] { random }
Hand 5: 36.7362 % [ 00.37 00.00 ] { Kc4h }
</pre><hr />

[jaxUp]

We can't assume somebody has an ace here.... but I think we can assume somebody has an ace about half the time (more? less?). This, coupled with the clubs and lack of position makes it a check.

[Hojglad]

Well, as it turned out, the three better held the K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Turn = 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
River = 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Idiot with the club stuck around and showed K high. Other two showed A2o and ATo respectively. Chalk another one up for top pair, good enough kicker.