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Search: Posts Made By: Bad Lobster
Forum: Poker Theory 11-14-2005, 03:07 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 280
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: Most Overrated Poker Skill

Yeah, but what if he can do chip tricks while he's making his calculation?
Forum: Small Stakes Pot-, No-Limit Hold'em 11-14-2005, 02:59 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 66
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: Plugging the leaks in some premium hands, Part 1: AQo. ($25NLParty

Botched. You let yourself be bought out of a great hand. Even if (unlikely) he's better than you now, you had a good chance to make a high flush.

His play is not consistent with most of the...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-21-2005, 11:34 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 139
Posted By Bad Lobster
Cold calling hands

According to the book I'm reading, it's rarely correct to call a raise before the flop in hold-em; you should usually either raise or fold. But there are a very few hands where the book does...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-21-2005, 10:44 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 159
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: How good is this guy?

If he folded, how do you know whether it was a good hand or not? Or, for that matter, whether or not he was beat?
Forum: Poker Theory 06-21-2005, 10:41 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 159
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: How good is this guy?

> Is the player playing a lot of pots?

This will separate the bad from the medium, but not the medium from the best.

> When he plays a pot, does he always or nearly always raise or is he...
Forum: Poker Theory 06-21-2005, 07:05 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 159
Posted By Bad Lobster
How good is this guy?

When you play a game against a table full of strangers, how long does it take you to pick out the good players? And what do you look for, short of observing someone for hours and hours?

In a...
Forum: Poker Theory 05-17-2005, 07:25 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 131
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: Bankroll Considerations

The biggest hidden variable in these bankroll calculations is the likelihood that you aren't as good a poker player as you think you are. One of the inputs to the equation is the number of big-size...
Forum: Poker Theory 05-17-2005, 06:46 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 140
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: holdem, flush draw question

-----------------
However, if the remaining players are weak-tight, one might still get some folding equity, if there is no betting coming from other players.
------------------

Seems to me this...
Forum: Poker Theory 05-17-2005, 06:09 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 177
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: The best way to prevent tilting at a live game.

I've been doing something similar in online games--writing down each win and loss $. This probably does more to help my concentration than to prevent going on tilt.

Interestingly, last night I...
Forum: Omaha/8 04-09-2005, 06:14 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 162
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: Newbie question - playing set

You're so far ahead that you should be thinking not about getting beaten, but about how to keep other people in with their weak draws.

Right now you have the best hand, you're drawing to a full...
Forum: Poker Theory 03-07-2005, 05:04 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 92
Posted By Bad Lobster
Warning: bug in Paradise Poker \"Crazy Pineapple\"

Hi all,

I'm posting this here because I don't know where else to post it. It's a real-time warning of a bug I just encountered in a Paradise Poker on-line game. Can someone please pass the...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-27-2005, 01:55 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 89
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: bets and outs

It's an intriguing idea--a new way to quantify the value of a bet--but I don't think it'll work. If my hand is ahead of yours and you have 9 outs, that means that if any of the other 35 cards falls,...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-23-2005, 03:41 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 149
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: Game theory question

Because you don't have to use the same strategy, and the optimal strategy is not necessarily the same for both players. Your optimal strategy is the one that gives you the best expectation WHEN HE'S...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-21-2005, 05:30 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 176
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: If it weren\'t for bad luck........

Since you say you've been losing consistently since you started, the obvious conclusion is that you just aren't good enough and you never were. Book knowledge and a good head for math don't teach...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-20-2005, 11:00 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 176
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: If it weren\'t for bad luck........

Thanks, CMonkey; your ideas are more constructive than most of the "you need to learn to play better" posts in this thread.

I'm in more or less the same boat as you: I've been losing rather...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-14-2005, 06:16 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 122
Posted By Bad Lobster
Re: Beginner question on pots odds & number of players

1. You should figure out the actual odds for this common situation. Doing it with the raw numbers: the odds of getting your suit on either of the next two cards is 1 minus the odds of NOT getting...
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