Who's your picks at Augusta?

[olemissgolf]

Thanks for the line, Clarkmeister. Interesting stuff. Tiger being such an odds on favorite makes the line on many others seem good. No line on Couples and Haas? I like both of them over some of the guys listed. I think Tiger, Ernie, and Phil aren't good bets.(Strictly talking payoffs)
I like everyone on the list at over 10,000. If I had only $100 to place, I'd put it on Lehman.

[Clarkmeister]

Since people seem to be interested.

First, they don't have it posted yet, but generally they post a matchup of "Best finish, Tiger or Phil" with Tiger being generally about a -300 favorite.

Following are 2 more charts. First is "Odds to Show", or odds that the golfer finishes in a tie for 3rd or better. Next is "Odds to Win without Tiger", or odds that they win, or finish 2nd if Tiger wins. Particularly interesting to me is how dominant Ernie's odds are without TIger. +400 was an obscenely low price for any chalk in the pre-Tiger era. Now its routine.

Odds to Show in the 2003 Masters
101 Tiger Woods -250
102 Ernie Els +200
103 Phil Mickelson +350
104 Vijay Singh +600
105 Sergio Garcia +1200
106 Padraig Harrington +1000
107 Retief Goosen +800
108 David Toms +1200
109 Davis Love +400
110 Mike Weir +700
111 Colin Montgomerie +2500
112 Charles Howell +1000
113 David Duval +2500
114 Jim Furyk +1000
115 Chris DiMarco +1600
116 Adam Scott +2000
117 Justin Leonard +1600
118 Nick Price +2500
119 Angel Cabrera +1700
120 Darren Clarke +1700
121 Robert Allenby +2000
122 KJ Choi +2500
123 Justin Rose +2500
124 Rocco Mediate +2500
125 Peter Lonard +2000
126 Tom Lehman +2500
127 Nick Faldo +3000
128 Thomas Bjorn +3000
129 Scott Verplank +2500
130 Stuart Appleby +3000
131 Jose Maria Olazabal +4000
132 Jerry Kelly +2500
133 Shigeki Maruyama +3500
134 Bernhard Langer +3000
135 Craig Parry +3500
136 Scott Hoch +3000
137 Bob Estes +2500
138 Chris Riley +2000
139 Brad Faxon +3000
140 Rich Beem +3500
141 Fred Funk +3500


************************************************** *********

Odds to Win the 2003 Masters without Tiger Woods
201 Ernie Els +400
202 Phil Mickelson +700
203 Vijay Singh +1200
204 Sergio Garcia +2400
205 Padraig Harrington +2000
206 Retief Goosen +1600
207 David Toms +2400
208 Davis Love +1000
209 Mike Weir +1600
210 Colin Montgomerie +6000
211 Charles Howell +2400
212 David Duval +6000
213 Jim Furyk +2000
214 Chris DiMarco +3600
215 Adam Scott +4400
216 Justin Leonard +3200
217 Nick Price +6000
218 Angel Cabrera +3600
219 Darren Clarke +3600
220 Robert Allenby +4400
221 KJ Choi +6000
222 Justin Rose +6000
223 Rocco Mediate +6000
224 Peter Lonard +4400
225 Tom Lehman +6000
226 Nick Faldo +6400
227 Thomas Bjorn +6400
228 Scott Verplank +6000
229 Stuart Appleby +6400
230 Jose Maria Olazabal +10000
231 Jerry Kelly +6000
232 Shigeki Maruyama +8000
233 Bernhard Langer +6400
234 Craig Parry +8000
235 Scott Hoch +6000
236 Bob Estes +6000
237 Chris Riley +4400
238 Brad Faxon +6400
239 Rich Beem +8000
240 Fred Funk +8000
241 Field +700


Enjoy!