#1
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Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
O.K. You can't pick Tiger.
Now, what order would you put Davis/Ernie/Phil? Who would you pick between Sergio/Duval? And where do Toms, Weir, Singh, and Harrington fit in? What would be a fair bet against Tiger? Would Davis,Ernie, and Phil be too much? |
#2
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
Ernie/Davis........................................./Phold
Sergio/Duval I'd put Toms after Ernie, before Davis and way way way before Phold if the course plays hard. Last year my dark horse was Olazabel. He had a good tournament but not good enough. He's not playing well now though. This year I won't bet against Tiger. [img]/forums/images/icons/smirk.gif[/img] |
#3
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
Tiger is 8/5 as usual in a major.
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#4
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
You have to look at who is at the top of their game now:
Davis just won, he is a good pick I think Mickelson too, as long as Tiger doesn't have to play with either of them. Herrington, while he didn't finish all that well, last year finished top 10 in all the majors(I heard this, didn't check the stats to confirm). Garcia, course is good for him, still needs toplay like he actually graduated from HS, but when he's on, he's tough. Even a guy like Mike Weir(Go lefties!!!) has been playing really good recently, he has game, not the longest hiter, but he knows how to make up for it. I heard Nick Faldo has been practicing like the old days, and has been playing very steady lately(remember the old days, that was his way, he "steadied" all of his opponents until they just wore down. I'm sure it will be good this year, Jack and Arnie will probably play(no I am not picking them either, just good to se them there) it should be exciting, hopefully enough to overshadow those who protestdo the "morals" that the guys in the green coats represent. |
#5
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
We put a hundred on Olazabel at 40:1 (I think) last year. I think he finished in the top ten, but as you say, not quite good enough.
Woods will win period. |
#6
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
O.K. You can't pick Tiger.
Damn, I was going to go out on a limb and pick him. Now, what order would you put Davis/Ernie/Phil? I think Davis and Els are very close. Put a gun to my head and I'll take Ernie. I'd rather pick Davis though. Phil is a distant third in that group. Who would you pick between Sergio/Duval? Are we picking for last? And where do Toms, Weir, Singh, and Harrington fit in? I think Vijay will finish in the top 10 like usual, Toms probably will also. I'd really like to see Toms in the final group with Tiger on Sunday, I think he'd hold up just fine. What would be a fair bet against Tiger? Would Davis,Ernie, and Phil be too much? I'd still take Tiger. Make it Davis, Ernie, and Vijay and I'd have to think about it. |
#7
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
"What would be a fair bet against Tiger? Would Davis,Ernie, and Phil be too much?"
Considering he's down to 7/5 against the entire field, I'd estimate that taking about 15 players would be fair if we were laying even money on both sides. Here's the current odds at one online book: 101 Tiger Woods +160 102 Ernie Els +800 103 Phil Mickelson +1400 104 Vijay Singh +2400 105 Sergio Garcia +4800 106 Padraig Harrington +4000 107 Retief Goosen +3200 108 David Toms +4800 109 Davis Love +2000 110 Mike Weir +2800 111 Colin Montgomerie +10000 112 Charles Howell +4000 113 David Duval +10000 114 Jim Furyk +4000 115 Chris Di Marco +6400 116 Adam Scott +8000 117 Justin Leonard +6400 118 Nick Price +10000 119 Angel Cabrera +6800 120 Darren Clarke +6800 121 Robert Allenby +8000 122 KJ Choi +10000 123 Justin Rose +10000 124 Rocco Mediate +10000 125 Peter Lonard +8000 126 Tom Lehman +10000 127 Nick Faldo +12000 128 Thomas Bjorn +12000 129 Scott Verplank +10000 130 Stuart Appleby +12000 131 Jose Maria Olazabal +16000 132 Jerry Kelly +10000 133 Shigeki Maruyama +14000 134 Bernhard Langer +12000 135 Craig Parry +14000 136 Scott Hoch +12000 137 Bob Estes +10000 138 Chris Riley +8000 139 Brad Faxon +12000 140 Rich Beem +14000 141 Fred Funk +14000 142 Field +1000 |
#8
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
I kinda like maruyama at +14K. I think he's long enough and has that "who gives a crap" attitude that would allow him to pull it though. as a dark, dark, midnight black horse, how about Long John "Bam Bam" Daly? he's got enough game, but pulls up short in the head category. string together 72 holes, though...
what about Michelle Wie? |
#9
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
And you still think the players today are better than ever? You got Tiger, 5 or 6 others who are good, and a bunch of stiffs. The number two guy has a bad wrist and the number three guy has won exactly zero majors. I mean Charles Howell, Padraig Harrington, and Jim Furyk are in the top ten. I'd take Nick Price over all of them combined. I don't see how Tiger can lose. He hit into the water three times yesterday and shot the same score as the co-leaders.
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#10
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Re: Who\'s your picks at Augusta?
106 Padraig Harrington +4000
107 Retief Goosen +3200 108 David Toms +4800 109 Davis Love +2000 110 Mike Weir +2800 These are all good bets, IMO; DL3 clearly #2 right now w/EE & VJ hurt & Phold rusty; plus he's been runnerup twice at Augusta. Harrington will prolly wander into a major at some point, like Goosen. Sergio or Duval would be much bigger upsets than Toms or Weir right now. In fact, I think the five above +300 v Tiger is fair. But Tiger is simply the overwhelming favorite. |
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