TRIP FOURS

[luggie]

holding 44 flop is j 9 4 player holds a j what are the odds that he runs a a on the turn and river?if it can be figured im just curios

[sublime]

Huh?

[Spyder]

Well, we know what 7 of the cards are, so, on the Turn you're 42 to 3 (14 to 1) against, or 7% of the time you'll score; on the River you're 41 to 2 (a little worse than 20 to 1) against, or 4.8% of the time you'll score. I think that if you multiply those together (0.066 * 0.048= 0.0032) you'll get the liklihood of those two events happening which comes to 0.32% of the time. Statisticians please correct me.

Spyder

[SinCityGuy]

In this particular example, the odds against him getting running aces are 1892 to 1.

[Dynasty]

Use www.twodimes.net to calculate your bad beats.

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=290785
pokenum -h 4s 4d - ad js -- jh 9c 4h
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 9c Jh 4h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
4s 4d 971 98.08 19 1.92 0 0.00 0.981
Js Ad 19 1.92 971 98.08 0 0.00 0.019

[pzhon]

[ QUOTE ]
Hero holds 44
Villain holds AJ
flop is J94 [edited]
what are the odds that he runs a a on the turn and river?if it can be figured im just curios

[/ QUOTE ]

Why worry about that particular method of beating you? You are also beaten by J9 (6), AJ (6), 99 (3), and JJ (1). Together with AA (3), there are 19/990 ways for you to lose, assuming that there are no flushes possible.