Micro Stud Hi: raising w/ a worse hand

I'm on a posting Micro rampage. Apologies for flooding the forum to higher limit players, but this game conjures up a lot of thinking.

Well, it's all about 4th street. The Villain's bet is a double bet. I know I'm behind, but I thought it might be worth it. What say y'all?

7 Card Stud High ($0.04/$0.08), Ante $0.01, Bring-In $0.02 (hand converter)

3rd Street - (1.75 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___calls___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___folds
Seat 3: xx xx 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___calls___calls
Seat 4: xx xx K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___folds
Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___raises
Hero: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___brings-in___calls
Seat 8: xx xx 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___calls___calls

4th Street - (6.75 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___folds
Seat 3: xx xx 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___folds
Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___bets___calls
Hero: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___raises
Seat 8: xx xx 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___folds

5th Street - (7.38 BB)

Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___checks
Hero: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___checks

6th Street - (7.38 BB)

Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___bets $0.03 and is all-in
Hero: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___calls

River - (8.13 BB)

Seat 5: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] xx___all-in
Hero: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Total pot: (8.13 BB)

[RLilley]

Don't have a read on the ace, obviously. But if you've played there a while, will he steal with an ace showing? If not, just save yourself some time.

The double bet tells me doesn't have the set. If he's a guy who WILL bet the set, note that. Most people won't.

If all he has is aces, you're ahead on fifth. If he has a similar hand to you, good luck.

[kschellenger]

First, you should be folding this on 4th. Because you've only got a 3 flush, no straight draw and a pair of 2s. That's not much against open aces, maybe trips.

But, onto addressing the issue of raising:
If anyone was thinking of calling the open aces double bet they are going to be folding now facing 2 double bets. You don't want to play this hand heads up because if it hits it figures to be the best hand so you want more people in the pot. The aces aren't going anywhere. Especially if he has the trips he's represented. If you're feeling like others will play this hand, you should call because you MAY get the right odds. However, you should not even consider raising.

[preiserone]

I definately dont raise on 4th, 5th if he has just aces, you are somewhere between 5:4 and 11:10 favorite, not that good but you still dont know if hes got 2 pair which would put him at about 3:2, so i like your check, take a card off and try to hit that flush

you've gotta call 6th and show down your draw

[kschellenger]

[ QUOTE ]
Don't have a read on the ace, obviously. But if you've played there a while, will he steal with an ace showing? If not, just save yourself some time.

The double bet tells me doesn't have the set. If he's a guy who WILL bet the set, note that. Most people won't.

If all he has is aces, you're ahead on fifth. If he has a similar hand to you, good luck.

[/ QUOTE ]

IF all he has is aces he's slightly ahead. 55.04% to win. If his opponent has aces up or trips he's WAY behind.

Clear fold on 4th and 5th.