River Value Bet With Set Gets Check Raised Big

[Post-Oak]

I have 9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in the big blind.

2/4 NL 10 Handed
Folded to player in mid position, who limps
Villain ($758) completes in SB
Hero ($833) checks in BB with red nines

Flop J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($12)
Villain bets $4
Hero calls
MP folds

Turn 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($20)
Villain bets $12
Hero raises to $54 total
Villain calls

River 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($128)
Villain checks
Hero bets $96

Villain raises all-in for $601 more.

Board is J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Hero???

Is folding horrible?

Edit: Sorry, no reads. I have never played with villain before.

[mikech]

hmmmmmm that's quite a river c/r push. i probly call cuz i can't lay down sets but i expect to see 7c6c a fair amount of time.

[flawless_victory]

that is a really tough spot... i think folding here is fine.

[calmasahinducow]

Are there any reads? I really can't fold here without any.

edit: i speak english goot.

[binions]

Tough spot. You don't want to go broke in a pot that wasn't raised preflop. In the blind, he could have anything. Potentially, there are 51 hands ahead of yours (JJ, A2, 62, 76).

On the other hand, I usually call here on the net, because I expect to win at least 40% the time. There's $320 in the pot, and you have to call $601. 40% of $921 > 60% of $601.

Only if I am postive that I am a 2:1 dog or worse will I fold.

[kagame]

raise preflop

this will usually take it down, or you follow through on flop, if you get to the turn the hand is just fun

[ahnuld]

I really do think folding is horrible. Some of the players at 2-4 are such donks, that they would do this with any two pair. I think J9 is a real possibility and the sb would think hes slowplaying you on the turn. I call.

[mgsimpleton]

raise preflop. then raise flop. as played, he has 67. fold. next hand.

[Proofrock]

[ QUOTE ]
raise preflop. then raise flop. as played, he has 67. fold. next hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

um ... why does 67 bet the flop and the turn and call the turn raise? only 6c7c makes sense on the turn, but what about the flop? 1/3 pot bet into two other players with a gutshot straight draw and backdoor flush draw doesn't make any sense at all to me.

-cj

[DyessMan89]

[ QUOTE ]
raise preflop. then raise flop. as played, he has 67. fold. next hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL