Good Push, bad push?

[Dave D]

About 400 left in the Party 40k Guaranteed, 220 get paid, ~2400 enter.

Yeah so at the time I thought this was a good push, now I'm not so sure. Obviously it's a push or fold. Does anyone fold? Comments?

Note that even if the other guy calls and I lose, I'll have 3.5 BBs (when blinds go up in a minute).

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG+2 (t1190)
MP1 (t720)
MP2 (t1620)
MP3 (t2690)
CO (t3290)
Hero (t4100)
SB (t13485)
BB (t1830)
UTG (t11465)
UTG+1 (t8495)

I have AQs

MP1 pushes for 720. MP3 Minraises to around 1600. Everyone else folds to me. Push or fold here?

edit: One other thing I was thinking about that may or not be a consideration. There was small chance I thought that MP3 might fold and I win the dead money. Mp3 did think about it, so I guess I'm not totally off there.

I find it interesting that this hand would be pretty much an auto push at this stage with AK, but clearly AQ is debatable. But I had AQsssssooootted.

[Dave D]

bump

[Dave D]

Is this really so obvious?

[mrh86]

It's a tricky situation. If I had kings or aces, and I were MP3, I'd probably flat call hoping to induce somebody else to either raise or call. The mini-raise might be cause for concern though. I'd probably lay it down and be thankful I did when MP3 flips A-K over.

[bugstud]

I like it though I really doubt he folds much

[CardSharpCook]

[ QUOTE ]
I like it though I really doubt he folds much

[/ QUOTE ]

it is really strange that he makes it 1600 when he has 2600 behind. Actually, I think it says something about the weakness of his hand. I like the push, and expect to be up against an underpair, but with the small stack in, I'll take it. I'm perfectly ok with a fold here too, this is a tough call. Someone should do more extended analysis here, I don't have the time right now.

[benneh]

he has a pair of 9s or under, right?

I like the push

[captainzodiac]

personally i don't like the push at all here,you're sitting 4th in your room in chips,and have lots of chips to slowly maneuvre your chips up,without taking a coin toss at best here,that would cripple your stack if you are wrong.