Simple River Decision

Moozh · #1 09-15-2005, 10:38 PM

Let's see, CO has been playing fairly tight and his preflop cold-call is a bit strange. Button is a bit wacky. He seems to like to limp-reraise with medium hands and can be a bit overaggressive postflop. Button is semi-tilting, normally a solid player but has gone quite a few extra bets on certain hands where it has been obvious he's beaten.

Bet or check-raise?

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
Hero raises, 1 fold, CO calls, Button calls, 1 fold, BB calls.

Flop: (8.33 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, CO checks, Button checks.

Turn: (4.16 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, CO bets, Button calls, BB calls, Hero calls.

River: (8.16 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, Hero...

deepsquat · #2 09-15-2005, 11:16 PM

I prob bet out here. I dont think CO likes his hand that much. I would expect a hand like QJs or KQs to bet the flop so i think its unlikely he has a J. Hopefully he's semibluffing a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] draw on the turn [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] and im not sure that a PP like 66 or 77 bets this river, particularly if hes tight.

Moozh · #3 09-15-2005, 11:28 PM

Oops, if it matters, the semi-tilting guy is BB, not the button.

Brom · #4 09-15-2005, 11:29 PM

I think a bet is in order here. It just seems too likely to me that the river will get checked around. Probably none of your opponenets have a Jack, or they would have bet on the flop.

Hands like second, mid, or bottom pair here will probably take a free showdown given the number of opponents calling their turn bet. Also any missed straight draw will give up for similar reasons most of the time. Any straight draw that might have hit with that nine will probably raise you.

There is the possibility that someone else picked up the [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] draw and will raise you on the river which is good.

The last possibility in my mind seems slim but could occur. Someone may have flopped a set, and checked behind on the rainbow flop looking to raise the turn. Instead they merely got to bet the turn and got called in three spots. This person you may or may not be able to check raise on the river, but he is most definetly calling at least.

Brom · #5 09-15-2005, 11:31 PM

Even more reason to bet IMO. If it gets folded around to the tilting BB, he will make crying calls with some terrible hands.

Moozh · #6 09-16-2005, 12:07 AM

Ok, seems standard.

I bet and they all folded! Bah!

EvanJC · #7 09-16-2005, 12:20 AM

is checking the flop standard here?

Moozh · #8 09-16-2005, 12:23 AM

I'm not sure. I tend to mix it up based on my image. With 3 others in and a middling flop that was likely to connect to a couple of them, I really didn't see what betting would get me.