a simple read

[chio]

party 10-20 6max (6 handed)

i've been playing pretty tightly preflop and postflop. main opponent here (BB) is tight and pretty straightforward, PtonTiger2 if you've heard of him.

i raise AKc in CO, button calls, BB calls.

flop: As9s6s
check, i bet, fold, call

turn: 5s(As9s6s)
he bets, i call, planning to raise any non-A river

good or am i overthinking it?

[jph0424]

I think you are overthinking it. He may fold a low spade on this river but I doubt it. I think this is a call down as he will call the river with anything that beats you unless he is really tight.

[Trix]

If you want to bluff him, dont you think it´s better to do on the turn when it´s cheaper and it´s going to cost him two more to get to showdown rather than one.

If he really is "tight and pretty straightforward" , then you can probably just let him have it.

[irishpint]

i wouldn't fold a spade on the river to a raise. either raise here to try and get a free showdown/take the pot and fold to a 3 bet or just drop it i guess.

[chio]

[ QUOTE ]
If you want to bluff him, dont you think it´s better to do on the turn when it´s cheaper and it´s going to cost him two more to get to showdown rather than one.

[/ QUOTE ]

i agree with you that it is cheaper to raise the turn. here is what i was thinking on this hand:

(1) on the turn, i pretty much put him on a small flush or weak ace that feared that i would check behind
(2) i felt there was a much better chance of him folding when i raised a blank river, plus he might call with a weaker ace
(3) i also knew i couldn't fold on the turn for one more bet, plus he might check a small flush in fear on the river and give me a cheap showdown

anyway, the river was a 4h, he bet, i raised, he thought for about 15 seconds and then folded.

all in all, i think it may be a fancy play that worked this time (i.e. just calling down or folding would be better), but i thought it showed how powerful a simple read could be