Two Plus Two Older Archives Odds of single opponent having pair or better?
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#1
09-09-2005, 10:03 AM
 Isles Junior Member Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 14
Odds of single opponent having pair or better?

I don't know how closely you can get to this answer [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

If you are playing against 5 opponents, and you raise preflop, and get one caller, what are the odds that this single opponent has a high pair or better by the river?

High pair can mean top pair on a low board, I simply mean a legitimate reason for someone to call you down.
#2
09-09-2005, 02:02 PM
 Isles Junior Member Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 14
Re: Odds of single opponent having pair or better?

Is this an impossible question?

How about just a ball park? [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]
#3
09-09-2005, 02:10 PM
 LetYouDown Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Sharing a smoke w/negativity Posts: 524
Re: Odds of single opponent having pair or better?

What range of hands do you put your opponent on. This can be calculated easily for a specific hand...for a range of hands, it's more difficult.
#4
09-09-2005, 06:24 PM
 Isles Junior Member Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 14
Re: Odds of single opponent having pair or better?

I am limiting my "solid" opponent to whatever hands they will call a strong raise pre-flop in NL, six handed.

So for arguement's sake, let's say:

1- any pocket pair
2- any top two from JT-AK
3- connectors from 56-9T

Should be roughly 22% of possible hands.

If I can get an estimate for a "solid" player, I can slightly increase the percentage for a looser opp, and slightly decrease the percentage for a tighter opp.
#5
09-12-2005, 09:17 PM
 Isles Junior Member Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 14
Re: Odds of single opponent having pair or better?

Not even a ball park? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

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