Dumb push at this stage of MTT?

Stipe_fan · #1 09-02-2005, 10:01 PM

I am a little confused with this hand. Would you all consider this a chip accumulation move? Should I have bet less and release if he raises? I guess the big question is was the the right time in the tournament to gamble it up. I figured if I won this hand I would have enough chips to push around the bubble weakies. Go ahead and flame away!!

Stipe

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (10 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG+2 (t9750)
Hero (t4895)
MP2 (t1510)
MP3 (t3053)
CO (t5269)
Button (t1670)
SB (t4556)
BB (t2420)
UTG (t2625)
UTG+1 (t5420)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
3 folds, Hero raises to t525, 2 folds, CO calls t525, 3 folds.

Flop: (t1350) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets t800, CO calls [t4744] , Hero calls [t3570] t800.

Turn: (t2150) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)

River: (t2150) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)

Final Pot: t2150

Results in white below: 
Hero has Ad Kc (high card, ace).
CO has Qh As (one pair, queens).
Outcome: Hero wins t1350. CO wins t800.

benneh · #2 09-02-2005, 10:04 PM

looks fine to me. nut flush draw, nut straight draw that is probably good and your king could be good (though i wouldn't count on it)

nh.

benneh · #3 09-02-2005, 10:08 PM

i just did an equity calculation and you are only 40/60 vs the toughest range of hands (2 pr, sets, and the hand you were actually up against). you're getting 1.6 to 1. its close, but im pretty sure i call this 100% of the itme.

you are actualyl the favorite against the hand you were up against (seems kind of irrelevant, but it works), you just bricked.