AQ-fold or no fold?

crosse91 · #1 08-20-2005, 04:23 PM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (7 handed) converter

SB ($232.55)
BB ($204.40)
UTG ($197)
Hero ($409.90)
MP2 ($68.65)
CO ($209.50)
Button ($72.35)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 1 fold, CO calls $8, Button calls $8, 2 folds.

Flop: ($27) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $21, CO folds, Button calls $64.35 (All-In), Hero ????

its 43 for a pot 0f 112.....what do you think?

imported_anacardo · #2 08-20-2005, 04:34 PM

Tell me more about Button. Against your average opponent, 2:1's not going to cut it, as you're behind by more than that to most hands you'll see in an average opponent's range here. You need a strong notion that Button could be doing this with a beaten ace to continue profitably.

nebben · #3 08-20-2005, 04:35 PM

im folding barring reads.

crosse91 · #4 08-20-2005, 04:38 PM

i'm four-tabling so i don't have great reads....

but he wasn't anything to notice (either way~ good or bad)

hashi92 · #5 08-20-2005, 04:44 PM

I was in a similar situation last nite. i was holding AK with one all in and one call. my instincts were screaming at me to fold. i didnt and the villian turned over trip 5s.
usually with a bet like this i find that im behind at least 80% of the time. i just need to learn to fold in these situations.

imported_anacardo · #6 08-20-2005, 04:48 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i'm four-tabling so i don't have great reads....

but he wasn't anything to notice (either way~ good or bad)

[/ QUOTE ]

I assume you're a Gametime+ user. Check out things like aggression factor, %hands shown down, and %winning when shown down. Especially high, high and low, respectively, might swing this to a call.

crosse91 · #7 08-20-2005, 04:51 PM

pokerace, and he was 25/7/2

so i thought it was a fold. and he's still nothing remarkable.

djoyce003 · #8 08-20-2005, 04:55 PM

any chance he's semi bluffing on a flush draw here?

crosse91 · #9 08-20-2005, 04:57 PM

thats what he said after the hand, and i'm sure there is.....but i don't have the math moxy to figure it all out. Any help?

#10 08-20-2005, 05:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
thats what he said after the hand, and i'm sure there is.....but i don't have the math moxy to figure it all out. Any help?

[/ QUOTE ]

If he told you it was a bluff, then he had at least two pair. Good fold.