Flopped Set - When to slow down

Paxosmotic · #1 08-16-2005, 04:47 PM

I played this hand tonight and thought it would be interesting to see when you'd slow down with a flopped set. I have 949 hands on Villain at this level. He's 19.18/10.54/2.31. He's an attractive and thinking TAG who seems to be playing well below his bankroll and is consistently outplaying the table. Villain seems to have an advanced knowledge of poker theory and is very good at putting his opponents on a hand, as well as finding good opportunities to bluff. All in all, Villain might be the greatest 1/2 player in the history of... alright, it's me. I am the Villain in this hand. From Hero's perspective, when do you slow down here? Also, what does Villain have?

PokerStars Hold'em (9 handed)converter

Preflop:Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
Hero raises, Villain 3-bets, 3 folds, CO calls, 3 folds, Hero caps, Villain calls, CO calls.

Flop: (13.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, Villain raises, CO calls, Hero 3-bets, Villain caps, CO calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (12.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, Villain raises, CO calls, Hero 3-bets, Villain caps, CO calls, Hero calls.

River: (24.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, Villain raises, CO folds, Hero 3-bets, Villain caps, Hero calls.

I bet/call the turn and check/call the river. <- My answer.

baronzeus · #2 08-16-2005, 04:50 PM

AK is as likely as AA here.

I bet call turn and check-raise river sometimes, and sometimes 3bet turn and check call if capped.

Shillx · #3 08-16-2005, 04:50 PM

Don't slow down before the river. Check/call the river.

Brad

tiltaholic · #4 08-16-2005, 04:53 PM

i'd 3-bet the turn, and, seeing the cap, check call the river.

but maybe bet-calling the river is ok.

Eeegah · #5 08-16-2005, 05:03 PM

Given what I know of the villain, I cap every street confident that I'm gonna draw the fourth K and perpetuate the villain's downswing.

Paxosmotic · #6 08-16-2005, 05:05 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Given what I know of the villain, I cap every street confident that I'm gonna draw the fourth K and perpetuate the villain's downswing.

[/ QUOTE ]
I can't hear you, your avatar is making too much noise.

Interesting to see so many people keep the pedal clear to the metal on the turn (anyone 3-betting is saying to cap it because there's almost zero chance it doesn't get capped with the villain this excited about his hand).

Dave G. · #7 08-16-2005, 05:09 PM

Nice read. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

I'd call the river and collect the overcall from CO. He could have AK, but this looks like none other than AA.

Eeegah · #8 08-16-2005, 05:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I can't hear you, your avatar is making too much noise.

[/ QUOTE ]

For sake of argument though, I slow down around the turn raise. Until I river the K, of course.

baronzeus · #9 08-16-2005, 05:12 PM

[ QUOTE ]
AK is as likely as AA here.

I bet call turn and check-raise river sometimes, and sometimes 3bet turn and check call if capped.

[/ QUOTE ]

Make sure at least 5 bets go in on the turn and river, and possibly 6.

Paxosmotic · #10 08-16-2005, 05:17 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
AK is as likely as AA here.

I bet call turn and check-raise river sometimes, and sometimes 3bet turn and check call if capped.

[/ QUOTE ]

Make sure at least 5 bets go in on the turn and river, and possibly 6.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hero's turn bet : "I have a monster, whee!"
Villain's turn raise : "That's [censored] outstanding, I don't care."
Hero : "Oh. Uh. Hmm."

I just don't see Hero having more than about .47% equity after Villain's turn raise.