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Turn decision
PL Hold 'Em @ Commerce, 10-20 blinds, $600 buy-in. I'm in the BB with KsTs. An early-mid position player raises the max to 70. I haven't seen much from him in the 30 min or so he was at the table. Conservative appearance, not involved in any big pots. A top player cold-calls from 2 spots later. Folded to me and I close the action by putting in 50 more. I have about 750 left, the others have me covered.
Flop is J rag rag with 1 spade. I check, raiser checks, top player checks. Turn is As. I now have nut flush draw and nut gutshot straight draw. I bet the pot, 220. The raiser thinks and then raises the pot. Top player folds. I have about 530 left, there is 660 in the pot before the raise plus his 530 makes it 1190 to 530 or 2.25 to 1 odds. I have 10 nut outs to the 3 queens plus 7 spades that don't pair the board. So if I'm doing the math right I'm a 3.61 to 1 dog to make the nuts. If you tack on the 2 spades that also pair the board, it becomes 2.83 to 1. I don't think that a K is an out, but if I count the 3 kings too it becomes 2.07 to 1. I fold. Good play/bad play? Bad preflop call? All comments appreciated. |
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