#1
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One of those really unpleasant decisions
PLO 100. Full ring, mix of stacks. Villain 1 has 220, I have about the same. He is a very good, tricky and aggressive player. Viallain 2 has 50 to start the hand and is a donkey on tilt.
I am UTG with A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Villain in MP pots it, I think to like 4. Villain 2 reraises to 12. Three other callers I think, ...so, I reraise....well maybe not at exactly that point, I forget, but at some point Villain 2 is all in and Villain 1 calls and we both have 70 behind with a pot of like 380 to fight for. And, so we are clear going into the hand, I am pretty sure I have the only pair of aces. These guys shove with all sorts of garbage Flop (Pot 380, 1 player all in) is J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Your move? Any option with two players to fold and save $70? If not, do you check/call or bet it in? |
#2
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
At this point, you have invested more than 1/2 your stack, so have to push it in. Pray for runner-runner AJ or that nobody has a club flush (very possible.)
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#3
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
Push. Check-call is bad. A push has a small chance of getting a hand with outs to fold.
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#4
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
If you're going to lose to a flush, why play? The amount you have in the pot doesn't matter at all. Caro tells it like this: "Say you acquire a radiator cap signed by Bob Jones, a respected local mechanic, for 250,000. A year later, it is appraised at 50,000. Another collector offers you 125,000. You can say, "no way, I have 250 grand invested in this thing," or you can cut your losses."*
*loose paraphrasing |
#5
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
[ QUOTE ]
If you're going to lose to a flush, why play? The amount you have in the pot doesn't matter at all. Caro tells it like this: "Say you acquire a radiator cap signed by Bob Jones, a respected local mechanic, for 250,000. A year later, it is appraised at 50,000. Another collector offers you 125,000. You can say, "no way, I have 250 grand invested in this thing," or you can cut your losses."* *loose paraphrasing [/ QUOTE ] because when you check/fold to KQJT you lose a monitor and a computer, if not more, when you smash everything in sight. |
#6
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
The reason why you push here is simple:
There is $150 in the main pot, $230 in the side pot. You have $70 left to bet. If you put it all in, you are getting 450/70, or 6.4:1 on your money. You only need to win 13% of the time to break even. What are the odds that Villain has flopped a flush or some other hand that has you beat? A lot less than 87%. If he decides to fold, you will win that big side pot even if Villain2 beats you. Pushing is ++EV |
#7
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
[ QUOTE ]
If you're going to lose to a flush, why play? [/ QUOTE ] Why do you assume someone has a flush? Weak tight thinking like this will break you quickly. Besides, your argument can be carried further, I mean if you lose to a flush, don't you wish you had folded preflop? [censored], some days I have losing sessions, so why get out of bed? |
#8
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If you're going to lose to a flush, why play? The amount you have in the pot doesn't matter at all. Caro tells it like this: "Say you acquire a radiator cap signed by Bob Jones, a respected local mechanic, for 250,000. A year later, it is appraised at 50,000. Another collector offers you 125,000. You can say, "no way, I have 250 grand invested in this thing," or you can cut your losses."* *loose paraphrasing [/ QUOTE ] because when you check/fold to KQJT you lose a monitor and a computer, if not more, when you smash everything in sight. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, but I did bust one of my kids toys that was lying nearby when I wound up pushing into the 3-7 club flush. Villain held T723. Double suited though, so that counts for something. This was the first hand to put me on tilt in a long while. |
#9
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
[ QUOTE ]
Villain held T723. Double suited though, so that counts for something. [/ QUOTE ] Yes, that is a great aces busting hand! LOL |
#10
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Re: One of those really unpleasant decisions
[ QUOTE ]
Why do you assume someone has a flush? Weak tight thinking like this will break you quickly. Besides, your argument can be carried further, I mean if you lose to a flush, don't you wish you had folded preflop? [censored], some days I have losing sessions, so why get out of bed? [/ QUOTE ] Acesover8s, you're using the SLippery Slope logical fallacy. Just because I say to fold the aces on the flop doesn't mean that you want to fold pre-flop, or not get out of beds. I'm simply thinking "What can I beat?" Top pair? No good player will call an all-in with anything less than a set. All the +EV in the world doesn't matter if yuo're beat. |
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