AQ facing raise from big stack on bubble (Party $11)

[Raiser]

I'm 90% sure this is an easy push, but I want to make sure as my bubble play is pretty weak.

Here were my thoughts when I played this hand. Please let me know if they are good thoughts or bad thoughts and any other things I should have considered before I made my decision.

1) I know button will almost certainly call my push, but he has a lot of chips and could be raising a lot of hands here so AQ has a very good shot of being ahead.
2) I'm not even close to guaranteed to make the money, so what I gain in doubling up far exceeds the loss I'd take if I bust.
3) A stop-n-go was considered, but I decided that my hand was good enough that I don't really mind if he calls. I'm likely at worst a coin flip, but stand a good chance of dominating him.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">Hero (t1090)</font>
UTG (t911)
<font color="#C00000">Button (t4889)</font>
SB (t1110)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1090 (All-In)</font>

[Maulik]

clear push given your stack size relative to the blinds.

[Superfluous Man]

These are all good thoughts, though I don't even consider the stop n go. I see AQo in this spot, my eyes light up and the letters P-U-S-H force every other coherent thought out of my brain. AQo is just that good in this spot.

You should be 100% sure it's a good push.

[durron597]

Clear, easy push. This is what we mean when we say play for first and not 3rd (and why the ideal finish distribution has as many 4ths as 1sts with fewer 2nds and 3rds).

[ChuckNorris]

Now this would be the purrfect place for a stop'n'go. I think you want them to fold even hands you dominate, not to mention KT and some others. Winning this without a showdown would really be great with these stack sizes.

[tigerite]

I don't like the stop and go with a hand as strong as AQ.

[Maulik]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't like the stop and go with a hand as strong as AQ.

[/ QUOTE ]

For this reason and the fact that a push on the flop will likely offer 2:5:1 and not endanger villan's stack

[ChuckNorris]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like the stop and go with a hand as strong as AQ.

[/ QUOTE ]



For this reason and the fact that a push on the flop will likely offer 2:5:1 and not endanger villan's stack

[/ QUOTE ]

Exactly because of these huge odds you do everything you can to try to make villain fold. Because they have odds to call your push preflop even with anytwo, you should push the flop, where it's not as unlikely for them to fold. What's so difficult to understand about this? What do we loose by doing the stop'n'go?

[Nicholasp27]

deciding on push vs stop-n-go is based on FE, not cards...do u think u'll have more FE pushing or stop-n-going

if u push or s-n-g here, he has the same odds for calling

so maybe a missed flop will cause him to fold, making an s-n-g good here

or, maybe he's a good big stack so he's raising pretty much any 2 to get u guys to fold since 3 even stacks on bubble...and if he doesn't wanna get caught with rags he may fold here

most likely neither option has much, if any, fe...but it's a judgement call (and based on read of opp as well) about which has more fe

does he raise every hand?
has he ever folded to a reraise?

[morgan180]

i don't think a stop-n-go is the right play here - your go will be roughly the size of the pot and the odds you're laying the chip leader will be almost irresistable to him. its a clear push here.