#1
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Carried away?
After the other J fell on the river, I wanted to raise, but just called for safety. I really didn't think he had J however. Would it have been getting carried away to raise him again on the turn or the river, or is this generally the right thing to do long term?
PokerRoom 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], . <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">WarLordAG 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls, MP1 calls. Flop: (10.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">WarLordAG raises</font>, UTG calls. Turn: (7.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>. <font color="#CC3333">WarLordAG calls.</font> River: (8.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>. <font color="#CC3333">WarLordAG calls.</font> Final Pot: 9.25 BB |
#2
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Re: Carried away?
Do you think he has the 4th Jack more than 45% of the times? If not then raise the river.
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#3
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Re: Carried away?
He could be a retard with AA about 5% of the time as well. That said, I still dpn't think that he has the other J often enough to just call this river.
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#4
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Re: Carried away?
Similar hand that I posted in SS a week or two ago. Might find some of my analysis helpful. Fairly similar to your hand.
I like raising, calling a 3 bet. |
#5
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Re: Carried away?
HA - reminds me of a nightmare hand at Crypto when the guy DID have the Jack and we went 6 deep on the reraising.
Grinderswarehouse - NOT just another BLOG |
#6
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Re: Carried away?
Unlike the usual "donkbet when the board pairs" this guy actually bet the flop, so it looks like he might actually have trips on the turn - good call.
You got to raise the river though. He'll call with any boat and probably an A kicker. |
#7
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Re: Carried away?
sometimes it doesn't even matter if that last J falls off on the river because against lots of players, you'll know if he has a J based on the turn regardless of what ends up on the river. Intuitively you think that its much less likely now that there are 3 J's on the board based on Bayes Thereom, but you'd be surprised just how often it doesn't even matter sometimes.
Anyways, despite saying all that I never fail to raise this river and if I get 3-bet so be it. |
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