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#1
06-30-2005, 11:58 PM
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10+1: I probably should have folded this ITM
Blinds 150/300, stacks after posting:
Hero: t2670 SB: t2630 BB: r2250 SB has been folding a lot, will probably only call with a strong ace, KJ+, or a pair. BB is looser, but his range only differs in that he'll call with any ace. Hero: 67o, pushes on a blind steal. 
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#2
07-01-2005, 12:15 AM
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Re: 10+1: I probably should have folded this ITM
If you have their ranges right then this is meerly a math problem. Eastbays tool says it's a fold (-.4% of PP, with AT+ defining good ace)
Another thing to consider if SB is a lot tighter than BB, it would be better to fold marginally profitable hands here to retain a good image and then push any two from the SB every orbit.
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#3
07-01-2005, 12:20 AM
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Re: 10+1: I probably should have folded this ITM
[ QUOTE ]
If you have their ranges right then this is meerly a math problem. [/ QUOTE ] I would say the given range (pretty standard) is close enough to correct that +/- a few hands wouldn't make a large % difference.
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#4
07-01-2005, 12:39 AM
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Re: 10+1: I probably should have folded this ITM
Yes, very likely you are right. Plus like I said in my second point even if their calling ranges would be slightly off shifting this to a push (which I don't think it would) I'd still fold as you have a much better opportunity when you are in SB.
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#5
07-01-2005, 12:46 AM
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Re: 10+1: I probably should have folded this ITM
[ QUOTE ]
SB has been folding a lot, will probably only call with a strong ace, KJ+, or a pair. BB is looser, but his range only differs in that he'll call with any ace. [/ QUOTE ] I would bet that their calling ranges (especially the BB after SB folds) are a lot looser than that given that it is down to 3 and that would make it even more -EV...
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