Snapping off a bluff?

Popinjay · #1 06-29-2005, 03:02 AM

Opponent is 52/20 decent agg factor. We are playing 3 handed at NL400. I've been playing with him for a while now and I know he doesn't like me (I raised A4o preflop and beat him with it, he made a comment in the chat).

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 max, 3 handed) converter

saw flop|saw showdown

Hero ($695.2)
SB ($107)
BB ($536.8)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero raises to $14, 1 fold, BB calls $10.

Flop: ($30) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $20, Hero raises to $90, BB calls $70.

Turn: ($210) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($210) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $432.8 (All-In), Hero...

BobboFitos · #2 06-29-2005, 03:19 AM

was he reraising you with 99/TT or flat calling?

Edit: obviously you dont know exactly, but what was his reraising frequency approximately..

Popinjay · #3 06-29-2005, 03:21 AM

Probably flatcalling. I don't remember him reraising me much preflop, but hey maybe he never got 99/TT when I raised.

BobboFitos · #4 06-29-2005, 03:22 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Probably flatcalling. I don't remember him reraising me much preflop, but hey maybe he never got 99/TT when I raised.

[/ QUOTE ]

how often was he defending his blinds, too? (sorry, but this info is pretty important.. the more hands he'll call with the more combinations of bluffing hands...)

Popinjay · #5 06-29-2005, 03:24 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Probably flatcalling. I don't remember him reraising me much preflop, but hey maybe he never got 99/TT when I raised.

[/ QUOTE ]

how often was he defending his blinds, too? (sorry, but this info is pretty important.. the more hands he'll call with the more combinations of bluffing hands...)

[/ QUOTE ]

He definitely had it out for me but wasn't calling every hand I raised preflop. Probably about half or a third of em.

BobboFitos · #6 06-29-2005, 03:35 AM

I kinda hope you called -

when he calls the flop he could have oesd,flushdraw, lower 9, etc etc. but you know all that.

you need to be good ~40% of the time, so if he has it out for you, make the call. I dont think there is a set answer, because your exact hand can beat bluffs, and his bet is either a monster or a bluff.

ipp147 · #7 06-29-2005, 03:57 AM

Hi Popinjay,

I think he has a horribly played 7 that missed his checkraise on the turn.

I would let this one go. You beat a busted flush, small pocket pair 88/66/44 and a weaker 9. You are behind to alot that he could push here.

cero_z · #8 06-29-2005, 03:59 AM

Hi Popinjay,

Fold. He may have you notched, he may have a 7, he may be bluffing. There's not enough money in the pot to find out.

cero_z · #9 06-29-2005, 04:04 AM

ipp147,

[ QUOTE ]
I think he has a horribly played 7 that missed his checkraise on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, except his opponent (Popinjay) is apparently considering a call of this huge overbet. So, if he bets a 7 this way, it's not really too bad, is it?

This is more or less the way Spirit Rock and many other tough LAGs would play trips/boat/busted draw, and the option to do so is one thing that makes NL more interesting to me than PL.

AEKDBet · #10 06-29-2005, 05:20 AM

Whats his W$ at showdown %???

I fold bearing a read by the tempo of his actions