Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > One-table Tournaments
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-07-2005, 05:13 PM
BDarch BDarch is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: New York
Posts: 226
Default $55 hand, call with K7?

***** Hand History for Game 2170610814 *****
NL Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Entry Fee Trny:12893119 Level:5 Blinds(100/200) - Tuesday, June 07, 17:09:04 EDT 2005
Table Table 12953 (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 1: Blue_LabelA ( $1632 )
Seat 2: pottv ( $1025 )
Seat 3: Charlychooch ( $1020 )
Seat 4: latekitchen ( $1884 )
Seat 6: FifthCircle ( $1560 )
Seat 7: JML7575 ( $516 )
Seat 8: LowBillMill ( $537 )
Seat 9: valorous ( $600 )
Seat 10: BDarch ( $1226 )
Trny:12893119 Level:5
Blinds(100/200)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to BDarch [ 7c Kc ]
Blue_LabelA folds.
pottv folds.
>You have options at Table 11515 Table!.
Charlychooch folds.
latekitchen folds.
FifthCircle folds.
JML7575 is all-In [516]
LowBillMill is all-In [537]
valorous folds.
BDarch calls ????

There is 1357 in the pot already and I only need to put in another 337 but if I call and lose I'm down to a little less than 700 and have significantly less FE, so should this be an automatic call?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-07-2005, 05:49 PM
J-Lo J-Lo is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 1
Default Re: $55 hand, call with K7?

call and hope to double up. Ther overlay is HUGE-- take tha gamble.

if you fold u have about %12.8 of prize pool-- if u call and win u get 25%, if u call and lose u have 9.3%. Huge overlay-- go for it. When there are 5-8 people left, and blinds this huge, YOU HAVE TO GAMBLE-- take every +CHIP EV oportunity. Now, who knows how to user pokerstove and can figure out the rest of the ICM calc. Or show me how to use pokerstove.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-08-2005, 11:24 AM
schwza schwza is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default Re: $55 hand, call with K7?

yeah, i'd call. you're gonna be well under 33% to win, but the bets are too small compared to your blind.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 06-08-2005, 11:27 AM
junkmail3 junkmail3 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 249
Default Re: $55 hand, call with K7?

Gotta call.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 06-08-2005, 11:32 AM
swarm swarm is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 178
Default Re: $55 hand, call with K7?

don't like it but gotta call... your 10 handed in level 5!
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 06-08-2005, 12:12 PM
microbet microbet is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Southern California
Posts: 1,360
Default Re: $55 hand, call with K7?

If they are both fairly loose here you will have about a 26% chance to win.

.26 * .25 + .74 * .093 = .134

So, .6% +$EV.

If either of them are tight you will have about a 23% chance to win.

.23 * .25 + .77 * .093 = .129 which is pretty $EV neutral.

The table is tight though. If you fold, there will not be a supershort stack. If it folds around to you, seat 1 is a good candidate to have his blinds stolen (just based on his stack). After that you have a few shots at picking up a good hand.

On the other hand, you are almost certainly not going to just steal your way ITM. You are going to have to double somewhere. This is a shot at doubling without risking a bust. If you lose you will still have a decent enough stack that you may only have to double once in order to get ITM.

I vote call, because I like the alternative less (just like in a real election).
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:11 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.