ARGH, my hooks

Haupt_234 · #1 06-01-2005, 11:04 PM

Villan is 24/10/2.1. I guess the only question is the turn play, i'm thinking my call is real bad here... Flame me to confirm it please.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $7.
1 fold, Hero raises, 1 fold, MP2 3-bets, 5 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (8.80 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.40 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero calls.

River: (7.40 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 8.40 BB

Haupt_234

Eurotrash · #2 06-01-2005, 11:11 PM

cap preflop, lead flop??

Nick C · #3 06-01-2005, 11:26 PM

Well, let's see. Among the most reasonable hands you're losing to, there's this:

AK (12 combos, only 3 contain a diamond).
AA (6 combos, 3 contain a diamond).
KK (3 combos, 0 contain a diamond)
QQ (6 combos, 3 contain a diamond)
TT (3 combos, 0 contain a diamond)

So for these 30 combos, you've got 8-11 outs 70 percent of the time. The other 9 times, you'll have 1-2 outs. (And against 77, you've got 10 outs, whether Villain has a diamond or not.)

So, although I haven't done the precise math, let's call it 7 outs on average, which is enough to call. Occasionally, you'll be ahead of AQ or 99-88 and Villain will check behind unimproved on the river and you'll win that way.

The turn call seems all right to me.

shant · #4 06-01-2005, 11:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
cap preflop, lead flop??

[/ QUOTE ]
This, or, call preflop and checkraise this flop?

MannyCalavera · #5 06-01-2005, 11:30 PM

I play it exactly the same.

PokerBob · #6 06-01-2005, 11:44 PM

I can't think of a good reason to not c/r this flop.