AK against calling station

[IPSC]

I have 46 hands on UTG-1. (23.91 VPIP/2.17 PFR/0.36 AF)

Villian is rated as a semi-loose passive/passive.

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (8 handed)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP2 folds.

I bet the flop since I have a decent size pot, few opponents, and I have no reason to think my overcards still aren't good.

Turn: (4.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls.

I checked because I wanted to invest the absolute minimum to see a showdown. I figured that check/calling two streets costs at most 2BB and betting the turn/river costs at least 2BB. I'm not giving myself any fold equity against this passive villian.

River: (6.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 8.50 BB

Is this weak? I paid 2 BB after the flop for a chance to win 6.50 BB. Am I winning this 30% of the time?

Thanks!

[Prof. Chaos]

villian is passive, villian is betting against a PF raiser that checks on the turn, villian must have hero's high card beat.

[IPSC]

He is passive, but what if my check is giving him the courage to bluff?

[imported_AAcheckraise]

[ QUOTE ]
Villian is rated as a semi-loose passive/passive.

[/ QUOTE ]

Passive is the key... Unless you see him bluffing lots you gotta put him on a pair, he won't bluff all the time...

Here id either check/fold or raise...

[Duerig]

I think I would fold this river. You are behind here most of the time and only drawing to 6 outs.

[ QUOTE ]
I paid 2 BB after the flop for a chance to win 6.50 BB. Am I winning this 30% of the time?

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think so.

[Prof. Chaos]

[ QUOTE ]
He is passive, but what if my check is giving him the courage to bluff?

[/ QUOTE ]passive people only bet when they have the goods. I would be surprised if he was bluffing.

[irishpint]

probably should check/call turn and check/fold unless you get your A or K. If so I would probably check/raise but just calla 3bet because villian could have a nine for a straight and we're already drawing dead.