another river decision

Matt Jenko · #1 05-16-2005, 08:13 AM

Villian in piece is 25%/0.5 but only after 20 hands.

What to do on the river? In my eyes, there is a choice of 2 but I am not sure which is best.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
3 folds, MP2 raises, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7.33 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets, MP2 calls.

Turn: (4.66 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets, MP2 calls.

River: (6.66 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 bets, Hero ...

imported_PP123 · #2 05-16-2005, 08:17 AM

... calls. Do you think it's close?

Matt Jenko · #3 05-16-2005, 08:20 AM

My thinking was surely an AK, QK would checkraise here. I think an unexpected bet here implies a bluff a good percentage of the time. Maybe villain thinks I might just check behind, but my 2 choices are raise or call in this spot.

Matt Jenko · #4 05-16-2005, 08:23 AM

...but having though about it some more, just calling the bluff (if it is one) will be enough as if he is bluffing, my raise will never get called...

its all so easy after the fact...

pshabi · #5 05-16-2005, 08:24 AM

Why does he c/r KQ, but lead AK? Or did you just word the post poorly? Or am I stupid?

Matt Jenko · #6 05-16-2005, 08:27 AM

don't be hard on yourself, although english is my first language, things don't always come across well. always assume the other person is wrong [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]