KK vs a scary river

[hypermegachi]

Paradise Poker 3/6 Hold'em (5 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP calls, SB calls.

Flop: (13 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP calls, SB calls.

Turn: (8 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP calls, SB calls.

River: (11 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ...</font>

[sy_or_bust]

I think any line that involves betting this river is terrible.

[Guy McSucker]

[ QUOTE ]

I think any line that involves betting this river is terrible.


[/ QUOTE ]

Care to elaborate?

Guy.

[sy_or_bust]

Many players won't fold AT+ on a board like this, and certainly AQ/AK are sticking around. MP will have an ace very often (&gt;50%), and SB may still have one. An ace calls a large pot on the turn with a gutshot and potentially 6 overcard "outs". A flush draw also calls, and a smaller PP calls less frequently than he raises.

When you check the river, MP should bet, and you may have the chance to overcall SB. Few players will bluff-raise this river, so bet/call sounds absurd. At the same time, bet/fold tosses in 1 BB when I don't think you're ahead very often. I'd enjoy hearing other opinions on this, but I don't honestly see another perspective on this.