|
|
#1
04-25-2005, 10:07 AM
|
|||
|
|||
How to tell if you are running bad. (Or good)
You get a straight, flush or full about once every 200 hands. (Actually a little less but the aproximation is fine) So for 20K hands you should have 100 of each. All premiums should win at least 80%. You one pair win % should be around 44% and two pair around 55%.
link This is just a logical extension of some solid players misc stats tab. I also look at the standard deviation of a block of time sometimes. A lower standard deviation means on average you were dealt weaker hands. If you want to try my analysis out, find a chunk of time where you ran hot 6 BB/100 or greater for 4K hands and crunch the numbers. Then do the same for a solid losing streak. Post both sets of numbers in this thread for everyone to see. Krishan 
|
|
#3
04-25-2005, 08:14 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: How to tell if you are running bad. (Or good)
On one of my worst 5/10 6m downswings, over a 10k sample I have a total of 346 straights, 197 flushes, and 182 boats in the misc tab. I'm confused. Are you sure your numbers are right, or am I just a dumbass and looking at the wrong section?
|
|
#5
04-25-2005, 08:52 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: How to tell if you are running bad. (Or good)
Cool idea. My premiums are not winning 80% of the time though, more around 70ish for JJ-KK. Also my win % for one pair hands is not as high, but this may be due to the fact I call down with a lot of weak holdings because I am such a LAG.
-Mike
|
|
#7
04-25-2005, 09:53 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: How to tell if you are running bad. (Or good)
[ QUOTE ]
you need to be more specific about 'premiums'. well you dont have to, but specify please [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] straights, flushes, and full houses. Krishan
|
|
#9
04-25-2005, 10:35 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: How to tell if you are running bad. (Or good)
[ QUOTE ]
You get a straight, flush or full about once every 200 hands. (Actually a little less but the aproximation is fine) So for 20K hands you should have 100 of each. All premiums should win at least 80%. You one pair win % should be around 44% and two pair around 55%. [/ QUOTE ] Crunching data. 12800 hands at 4.14 BB/100 Should have 64 of each premium (straight, flush, full house) winning at 80% or better straight 86-87% flush 81-82% full 66-89% one pair running at 37% two pair running at 53% 10200K hands at (3.4) BB/100 Should have 51 of each premium straight 45-75% flush 47-72% full 39-89% one pair hands 44% two pair hands 49% It's pretty clear that my premium hands performed much worse in my downswing. I also received many less premiums. It's one reason why I was able to keep my head up during a such a bad patch of cards. Krishan
|
 |
|
|
Linear Mode
