AKo Hand - Odds to Call on Flop?

Jax_Grinder · #1 03-30-2005, 01:00 AM

$30+3 MTT. 1100 reg. and 190 (+/-) left. $$ starts at 130.

Read on Villain 1 is tight, more agressive preflop (has folded to lead out bettor on flop after PF raise several times). Read on Villain 2 is semi-LAG. (We've all been at table since start of tourney).

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Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (9 handed) converter

UTG (t8575)
UTG+1 (t3025) (Villain1)
MP1 (t6204)
MP2 (t2660)
MP3 (t6645) (Hero)
CO (t7375) (Villain2)
Button (t2365)
SB (t10381)
BB (t2090)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls t300, UTG+1 (Villain1) raises to t800, 2 folds, Hero raises to t1400, CO (Villain2) calls t1400, 3 folds, UTG folds, UTG+1 (Villain1) calls t600.

Flop: (t4950) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+1 (Villain1) bets t1625 (All-In), Hero folds, CO (Villain2) calls t1625.

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My thought process went thusly:

1. Reraise preflop to isolate Villain1 and find out where I am if he comes over top or calls.

2. When V2 calls and V1 calls, I put V1 on mid-pair or high suited connectors and (based on my loose read) V2 on A10 or better (figuring if he is on big-cards he re-pops me right here with that many chips in the pot).

3. Flop comes rags and V1 all-in. I am 90% certain he has overpair here and if V2 is on Ax then I figure I am a huge dog (4-1 or so?) and I fold. (I really didn't think to hard about the odds I was getting to call, because I felt that if I called and V2 came over the top, I would have to fold.)

In retrospect, given the odds I was getting and if I had any confidence in my read on V2, I wonder if pushing all-in over the top of V1 wasn't the correct play.

AK has been VERY rough on me lately so here's hoping some thoughts on this hand help get me over the hump...Thanks in advance.