Marginal situation early in MTT

[PokerGoblin]

$20 party NL HE

20 minutes into tourney. blinds are 10/20. I have 2500TC. Villian has 1500TC.

I am on the BB w/ 10-J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

UTG (villian) makes it 70TC to go. One player cold calls, folds to me, I call.

Flop comes 9-Q-x w/ 2 diamonds (not OESF draw). I check, villian bets 200TC, other guy folds, I push all in.

Standard play?

Thoughts?

PG

[aggie]

[ QUOTE ]
Standard play?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yup

[ZBTHorton]

I like it too.

[woodguy]

Yup.

I pulled that play in a party $100 last week and got called by 2nd pair for all his chips when he had less than 10% committed preflop.

I missed.

He types in, "knew you were bluffing"

Love that.

Can't bitch when it happens.

Regards,
Woodguy

[Roman]

standard.

[captainzodiac]

i think i'd push here also because the villian can't break you,and you have very good odds to make your hand,if the villian had me covered i don't likely make this push,since you're already building a nice stack and it's very early.
i think if he had me covered i'd just be a calling station for him and hope to make my hand,and hope he doesn't make it too expensive if i don't.

[skoal2k4]

lets see... you have 8000000000 outs here with plenty of fold equity as well... nicely played. I hope it worked out for you

[PokerGoblin]

thanks, it seemed like the right thing to do, but anytime I make a move like that early I always second guess.

As for the comment that you don't like it if my opponent has me covered, I think that's more reason to do it honestly. I am getting better implied odds if he has me covered. My hand had 17 outs to a probable winner, which with 2 cards to come is better than even money to come in.

Turned out he had AQo for TPTK. Basically a coin flip w/ 2 cards to come. The turn was the 9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] making my flush but pairing the board. He caught a queen on the river to win the pot.

PG

[Avgard]

I think you miscounted your outs. You had 15 to a probable winner (you probably counted the Kd and 8d twice). With 15 outs, you are about 57%/43% against your opponent.

[captainzodiac]

i see your point of implied odds if he has you covered,personally i like to avoid coin tosses when losing means going broke,especially early in a tourney when you have already built a decent stack,especially when you are most likely one of the better players in the tourney,and that decent stack can be used to your advantage in the later stages,when the blinds increase. it's still a good gamble,especially if you're a good big stack player and this draw works out.