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#4
03-20-2005, 03:58 AM
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Re: HU Puzzle
Sorry this is wrong, I was thinking of something else. I was thinking smallest # of chips to fold from the SB. I have the K+S chart memorized and I know 32o is like 1.8x BB. Which would mean 1080-1100 remaining after posting.
Anyway this is completely different, I'll make an estimate of 1300-1400 remaining after posting. I didn't do any math so I can't be accused of cheating [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] 
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#5
03-20-2005, 06:43 AM
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Re: HU Puzzle
Well this is my stab at it:
Assume we are dealt 32o, our opponent moves all in Let x in thousands be our chip count now We assume we are a 2-1 dog, 33% to win If we call our expectation of our chip count is 2x/3 If we fold, then next hand assume we are 50% to win when we push all in, our expectation of our chip count then is 1/2(x-1)2 which is just x-1 2x/3 > x - 1 --> x < 3 So my sketch guess is at least 3000. Edit: If we're sure the opponent has us at 4:1 dog, is 20% to win, then the answer is 1.6k, but this isnt practical cos we cant reasonably assume that.
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#7
03-20-2005, 10:14 AM
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Re: HU Puzzle
Intuition tells me its around 2500.
Mack
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#8
03-20-2005, 12:41 PM
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Re: HU Puzzle
Let's say you have a really tight opponent. He only plays aces. You have A2o. You don't need many chips at all before a fold is correct.
Edit: I should clarify that whatever the math shows as a 0 ev decision in this scenario is actually an easy fold. This is because once you rebuild up to enough chips to have any fold equity, you will run over your opponent. In other words, the weaker your opponent plays, the less likely you should be to take a +ev situation for all your chips.
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#10
03-20-2005, 12:49 PM
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Re: HU Puzzle
[ QUOTE ]
That's a pretty uninteresting assumption, IMO. [/ QUOTE ] You asked the question, not me. Perhaps you should try rephrasing to make the question somewhat interesting.
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