Who bets this river with top set?

Buck_65 · #1 03-19-2005, 03:08 AM

Villain seems pretty good, which is to say somewhat tight and aggressive.

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
2 folds, UTG+2 calls, 3 folds, Hero raises, Button 3-bets, 2 folds, UTG+2 caps, Hero calls, Button calls.

Flop: (13.50 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets, Button calls, UTG+2 calls.

Turn: (8.25 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, UTG+2 folds, Hero 3-bets, Button calls.

River: (14.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, Button calls.

Final Pot: 16.25 BB

istewart · #2 03-19-2005, 03:09 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Villain seems pretty good, which is to say somewhat tight and aggressive.

[/ QUOTE ]

I definitely bet. A ten seems quite out of the question and I can't see a reason for raising spades on the turn.

deepsquat · #3 03-19-2005, 03:21 AM

It would be unlikely the button would 3bet pocket 10's pf i would think. Maybe AK. You have to lead the river with this hand.

Aaron W. · #4 03-19-2005, 03:29 AM

[ QUOTE ]
It would be unlikely the button would 3bet pocket 10's pf i would think. Maybe AK. You have to lead the river with this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

3-betting TT isn't so strange. I think it's would be really bizarre that the button would 3-bet pocket tens then wait until the turn to raise.

TomBrooks · #5 03-19-2005, 03:30 AM

I definately bet that river. Button's 3bet preflop tells me he has high cards and it could be, but is probably not spades. I don't think he's going to 3-bet AT or T9, even suited.

Also, I think if button wanted to put more money in the pot because he had a flush or straight draw, he would have done it on the flop if he was smart. Why do it on the turn when you have only one card to come and you could knock out UTG2 for two bets (which is what happened).

I'm putting button on KQ for two pair Ks and Qs, or AK for TPTK, or at best QQ or KK for a dominated set. I think his having a set is less likely, because if he does he's not pushing it very hard.

Ya, I'll definately take a shot at winning another bet on the river.

=TomBk

oLyphant · #6 03-19-2005, 12:31 PM

3-betting TT isn't so strange. I think it's would be really bizarre that the button would 3-bet pocket tens then wait until the turn to raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

A ten is unlikely, defintely lead the river

hicherbie · #7 03-19-2005, 03:43 PM

i agree as well...bet on river and call a raise.

SCfuji · #8 03-19-2005, 03:44 PM

heads up? bet.

Shillx · #9 03-19-2005, 03:49 PM

You have the 2nd nuts on the turn. When he doesn't cap it, it is very hard to think he has JT for the nuts so yes I'm betting the river. If he happens to have a ten in his hand then good for him.

Brad

SCfuji · #10 03-19-2005, 03:51 PM

why do you always have to give an explanation for your responses [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] show-off.