nines at a tight/aggressive table

sinfulslick18 · #1 03-14-2005, 05:08 PM

subject explains what i know

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero raises, 1 fold, MP1 3-bets, 4 folds, SB calls, BB calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (12 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, BB bets, Hero raises, MP1 folds, SB folds, BB calls.

Turn: (8 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.

River: (10 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 10 BB

-sinful

zeropotential · #2 03-14-2005, 05:24 PM

bet the river

DMBFan23 · #3 03-14-2005, 05:32 PM

how many worse hands call, versus better hands?

EDIT: pocket pairs possibly. he might have a pocket pair due to the preflop action, but I still think being called here is slim, and -EV IMO. he looks like he was on a draw here.

einbert · #4 03-14-2005, 05:38 PM

The river is the only close street I see. I think I value bet it and fold to a raise.

QTip · #5 03-14-2005, 05:38 PM

I like every street.

BigEndian · #6 03-14-2005, 05:40 PM

Bet the river, fold to a raise if the player hasn't gotten out of line.

- Jim

QTip · #7 03-14-2005, 05:41 PM

boy...I don't like that...especially the fold to a raise part. This is a pretty big pot, and I'm not ready to fold to anyone. I'd rather take my free showdown here with 2 overcards and a 3 flush.

QTip · #8 03-14-2005, 05:43 PM

I'm not getting this and that concerns me because I respect both you and Einbert's posts.

I just can't see what hand he's going to call with that we have beat. Why risk having to fold this pot?

einbert · #9 03-14-2005, 05:45 PM

[ QUOTE ]
boy...I don't like that...especially the fold to a raise part. This is a pretty big pot, and I'm not ready to fold to anyone. I'd rather take my free showdown here with 2 overcards and a 3 flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

Notice BB bet out on the flop. Most likely hand for him is something like A7 for TPGK or 76 for TP plus SD. He didn't just make a flush. A flush bets this river almost always anyway because they understand the tendency of players to check behind on the river when the flush card comes.

I don't think you're getting raised here very often at all. Even tens up might just call now with the flush out there. If you get raised you can definitely fold unless the player has a history.

DMBFan23 · #10 03-14-2005, 05:50 PM

IMO, I think 88/66 is more common than A7/76. however, I think he pays off with 88 almost all the time and 66 let's say half the time. if he's tight aggressive, it's got to be close. I think it's slim. I dont know anymore.