#1
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Flush probability
When u hit a 4 flush on the flop, the odds of making that flush by the river are 35% correct? If the turn card misses, what odds are you to get the flush card on the river? 17.5%?
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#2
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Re: Flush probability
[ QUOTE ]
When u hit a 4 flush on the flop, the odds of making that flush by the river are 35% correct? [/ QUOTE ] Yes. (make it on the turn) + (make it on the river) = (9/47) + (38/47)*(9/46) = 19.15% + 15.82% = 34.97% So, more 4-flushes are made on the turn than on the river. [ QUOTE ] If the turn card misses, what odds are you to get the flush card on the river? 17.5%? [/ QUOTE ] 9/46 = 19.57% As you can see, it's not half of 35%. Off the top of my head, I can't think of a meaningful question related to this situation where the river and turn probabilities are equal. |
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