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#1
03-03-2005, 10:10 AM
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How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
At 3/6 I am down 200bb in 10k hands. Havent had a winning session in two and half weeks.
I have a net loss of $110 with AKo in 101 times dealt. I have won $60 (10 bb) with AKs after being dealt the hand 40 times. Ive won 46% of showdowns. Bad luck or do I suck? The 30k hands prior I managed to have a winrate of 2+BB/100. I dont know what has happened. 
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#3
03-03-2005, 10:26 AM
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Re: How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
[ QUOTE ] At 3/6 I am down 200bb in 10k hands. [/ QUOTE ] Doesn't that answer your question? Seriously though, you may just be getting drawn out on a lot. That said, it is entirely possible that you are taking some hands too far in pots that don't warrant it. Post some hands. Keep your chin up. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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#4
03-03-2005, 10:28 AM
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Re: How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
How often are you going to showdown?
It sounds like you're running bad, but you might be calling down too much. When I had a bad run at 3/6 I started calling down too much as a result of it and it made the downswing worse.
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#5
03-03-2005, 11:04 AM
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Re: How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
VPIP 19 PFR 11 WSD 33
Fold to River bet 13%
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#6
03-03-2005, 11:08 AM
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Re: How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
[ QUOTE ]
Fold to River bet 13% [/ QUOTE ] That's REALLY low. I think what Einbert and PokerBob said probably are applying here...hands are going to far and you're calling down with poor hands. I think the majority of players have Fold to River Bet % of @ 40 to 50%
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#7
03-03-2005, 11:10 AM
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Re: How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
A 10k hand losing streak is unpleasant, but not unreasonable. You may want to examine some of your worst sessions to see if you tilted at all. It's very easy to tilt a bit (or a lot) without knowing it, especially after busting out on a couple of tables in a row.
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#9
03-03-2005, 11:18 AM
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Re: How can I only have a W$SD of 47.61% after 10k hands?? Help!
[ QUOTE ]
But this is probably a tiny sample size and may easily be unrepresentative. [/ QUOTE ] True...I'm not a stats expert, but would you be able to check out your river aggression here and match these up. For example, if you're the bettor and getting called down and losing, you're not folding to a river bet. However, if you're river AF was standard or low, and you're fold to river bet % was low like this, I think it would be safe to safe even after only 10K hands that you're calling with poor hands too frequently.
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