Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-11-2002, 12:36 PM
Posts: n/a
Default AA vs AA vs KK with KK winning

I was in ten-handed HE game last nite with AA. Capped preflop 3 or 4 ways (I forget). And the Flop comes

K Trash Trash (2-suited). EP bets, I raise, One caller behind me, EP re-raises, I call, player behind me calls. With two players besides me I am really starting to fear KK now. So I check call down to the river. Well, showdown comes and I have AA, the raiser has KK, and the player behind me also has AA. I wanted to figure out the probability of this happening at a ten-handed table, so I wrote a little c-program and ran 1,000,000 hands during lunch. And here is what I came up with.

AA occured 40635 4.06 % ~ 1 out of 24
KK occured 40536 4.05 % ~ 1 out of 24
AA vs AA occurred 138 .0138% ~ 1 out of 7,250
AA vs AA vs KK occurred 8 .0008% ~ 1 out of 125,000

Since 1,000,000 hands probably exceeds my lifetime expectancy of hands, These numbers may be a bit high for life.

I coded the sim rather quickly and was wondering if anyone disputes these. I was a bit suprised by how frequently someone at a table has AA or KK (about 1 out of 1.2 orbits?), so wouldn't be suprised if someone told me I am doing something wrong.

Anyone care to figure out the probability of being one of the two saps holding AA and losing to KK. If only I had known I was drawing dead [img]/forums/images/icons/grin.gif[/img]

Reply With Quote

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:33 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.