Value bet my full boat on the river?

spydog · #1 01-26-2005, 12:42 PM

Villian is 33/10 after 30 hands.

The river card took me by surprise and I didn't have a quick answer. Is this a value bet? If so, fold/call a raise?

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO folds, Hero 3-bets, SB folds, BB folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (7.33 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: (4.66 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 calls.

River: (6.66 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero ....

MarkD · #2 01-26-2005, 12:44 PM

I check behind here... Although AQ will call you a fair amount... I still check.

spydog · #3 01-26-2005, 12:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I check behind here... Although AQ will call you a fair amount... I still check.

[/ QUOTE ]

What does AQ have after that flop?

Harv72b · #4 01-26-2005, 12:57 PM

Check behind. Any K or any J beats you, and I don't think A high calls often enough to make up for the times you get check/raised by a K or called by a J.

BaronVonCP · #5 01-26-2005, 12:58 PM

[ QUOTE ]

What does AQ have after that flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

The nuts

ctide · #6 01-26-2005, 12:59 PM

AQ has a hand that's known as a straight. It's when you have 5 cards in a row, ie T,J,Q,K,A. It's worse than a flush, but beats trips.

MarkD · #7 01-26-2005, 01:01 PM

[ QUOTE ]
What does AQ have after that flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

You can't read teh board? I saw the straight.

chief444 · #8 01-26-2005, 01:01 PM

I think you hear from a J on the turn and I doubt if a K checks the river. I wouldn't rule AQ out entirely. May just have chickened out on the turn because of the two J's. QQ is possble. ATs is possible. I think all these call. I would bet it.

rt1 · #9 01-26-2005, 01:02 PM

woha, i am truely shocked by the replies to this post.

unlikely that villian has AQ based on his preflop aggro and how he totally shuts down after the flop. My guess is he has 77-99 here.

you NEED to bet and fold to a raise. this is the correct play!

Harv72b · #10 01-26-2005, 01:08 PM

[ QUOTE ]
My guess is he has 77-99 here.

you NEED to bet and fold to a raise. this is the correct play!

[/ QUOTE ]

Would villain call a river bet with 77-99?