NCAABB 1/26 Unranked vs Ranked

[NoChance]

One game for tonight.

YTD: 9-2

(8) Boston College
Providence -1

Take Providence -1

*Guys, this one looks ugly. This line opened at Providence -1.5. I fully expect this line to move in the Boston College direction. I grabbed it at -1 but will put some more on it if BC ends up favored by 2 or 3. Below are some reasons why I think this line will move. For some of you, it may be better to wait to place the bet. If it moves like I think it will, there could be a lot of value in this one. Why is Providence favored? I don't know. I just follow the trend.

Boston College is unbeaten (16-0) and Providence is 9-8.

Boston College is 5-0 in the conference and Providence is 0-4.

Boston College is 6-4-1 against the spread while Providence is 4-10.

[tech]

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This line opened at Providence -1.5.

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Not sure if this affects your play or not NoChance, but this line opened at pk. It went to Prov -1.5 within 2 minutes of posting. Guess somebody was just waiting for this one to hit the screen.

[NoChance]

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Not sure if this affects your play or not NoChance, but this line opened at pk.

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I researched it further and you are correct. It opened at a pick. If that is the case, then this one really doesn't fit the trend. I guess for the reasons I listed above, I didn't think there was any chance the line would move that direction so I assumed they opened as a favorite.

My bet is already in so it's too late for me. I jumped the gun a little. However, if the line ends up moving to BC -2 or -3, there could be some good value there.

Use your own judgement on this one. Sorry about that and thanks for the heads up.

[Peter_rus]

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My bet is already in so it's too late for me. I jumped the gun a little. However, if the line ends up moving to BC -2 or -3, there could be some good value there.


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Can you clarify please? Are you saying to then take Providence +2/3, even though they are now the home underdogs playing against a ranked team? I can't see taking a dog against an unbeaten, trend or no trend.

[NoChance]

Yes, I am saying there would be good value in taking Providence +2/+3. The extra value comes from the line movement caused by the very same thinking/reasoning you just gave. "No way I bet against an unbeaten team".

Looks like the line is not moving yet....

[WackityWhiz]

I just put 110 on BC -1, i guess at least one of us will win.

good luck