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  #1  
Old 01-19-2005, 10:53 AM
jcm4ccc jcm4ccc is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 116
Default Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

From Texas Pete:
[ QUOTE ]
Now we're talking! I knew my experiment would provide some entertainment value for the folks following along at home.
I should mention a couple of other things:

(1) I'm going to bankroll 30 buy-ins and keep playing 'till i've played 200 or i've lost it all.

(2) I probably won't be playing the $30's when I finish posting the 200 hands. I currently have ~$1500 and an ROI ~30% at the 30's. (I just played a lot today away from home where I have the stats.) When I reach $2k I'll be moving up to the 50's.

[/ QUOTE ]

OK, Texas Pete will play the 200s until his 30 buy-in bankroll is gone. So the contest is: How many $200 SnGs will Texas Pete complete until his 30 buy-in bankroll is gone? A gallon of Texas Pete goes to the winner.

Texas Pete wins the Texas Pete if he lasts 200 SnGs without losing his bankroll. So you can't guess 200.

There is no point in guessing ROI (unless he completes all 200), because the ROI is basically determined (with some variability) by how many games he completes until his $6450 bankroll is gone. The ROI is determined by dividing his profit (-$6450 if he loses his bankroll) by his investment (number of SnGs * $215). Here is a chart of his ROI based on how many SnGs he completes, to aid you in your guess:

SnGs ROI
30 -100%
40 -75%
50 -60%
60 -50%
70 -43%
80 -38%
90 -33%
100 -30%
110 -27%
120 -25%
130 -23%
140 -21%
150 -20%
160 -19%
170 -18%
180 -17%
190 -16%
199 -15%


I am adding a poll to this post, just for fun. You can complete the poll if you like. However, you have to reply to this post in order to enter the contest.
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  #2  
Old 01-19-2005, 10:54 AM
jcm4ccc jcm4ccc is offline
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Posts: 116
Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

My guess: 128 SnGs completed.
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  #3  
Old 01-19-2005, 11:10 AM
adanthar adanthar is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 27
Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

I'll stick with 110. Bad runs are a real bitch up there.
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  #4  
Old 01-19-2005, 11:21 AM
gorgeous gorgeous is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 234
Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

30. Yes, you will bust out of every SNG you play.
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  #5  
Old 01-19-2005, 01:50 PM
TeenerBall TeenerBall is offline
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Location: USA
Posts: 30
Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

My guess is you'll use your last $215 to buy into #149
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  #6  
Old 01-19-2005, 03:06 PM
The Yugoslavian The Yugoslavian is offline
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Location: Orange County
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Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

99th
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  #7  
Old 01-19-2005, 03:57 PM
dankhank dankhank is offline
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Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

30 buyins is healthy. the $215 sng's are not.

169 buyins.
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  #8  
Old 01-19-2005, 06:04 PM
Benholio Benholio is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 238
Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

I think he will complete all 200.
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  #9  
Old 01-19-2005, 09:10 PM
gvibes gvibes is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
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Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

[ QUOTE ]
I think he will complete all 200.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is this like betting 1$ on "The Price is Right"?
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  #10  
Old 01-19-2005, 10:57 PM
1C5 1C5 is offline
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Default Re: Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.

187
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