Should I have called?

Michael C. · #1 01-10-2005, 12:00 AM

215 SNG. Bubble. Leader has 5000+ chips. Other three have between 1400-1700 (which I have). 300 big blind, no small blind. I have A3 as blind. UTG folds. Chip leader raises all in. Button folds. Chip leader fairly agressive, odds are my ace is good. I'm getting 2000-1400 odds as the slight favorite (I guess). If I pass I'm probably 66% to make the final 3. If I play this and win I should make it and have a better chance to win. Do you make this call? (Sorry I don't have the hand history). Thanks.

Autocratic · #2 01-10-2005, 01:10 AM

I would really need to see this guys tendencies, but I have to think that unless you're desperate, this is usually a fold. Are you counting on an ace to hit? If he has an ace you're roasted. If he doesn't you could be 60-40, but if he has a lower PP you're 30-70. If you really trust your read it may be worth it, but when making it ITM is involved I'd lay it down.

captZEEbo1 · #3 01-10-2005, 01:32 AM

fold

Daliman · #4 01-10-2005, 01:37 AM

Fold. If he has an ace, you are in trouble, period. Same thing with most any pair. Even with 2 random cards, if they are both above a 3, you are likely not more than a 55/45 or so favorite at best.

Michael C. · #5 01-10-2005, 01:39 AM

Thanks. I called, but thinking it over I misplayed it. As it turned out, he had K high like I expected (he hit the king), but even if I'm a slight favorite over the range of hands he could play, it wasn't worth it in that situation. If I had a better ace, it's an easy call. I think you guys are right. Thanks.

Daliman · #6 01-10-2005, 01:57 AM

A8 or so is about the ace you start thinking about calling here with.

Michael C. · #7 01-10-2005, 02:48 AM

Thanks. It was a bad play on my part. Live and learn, which hopefully I have. ;-)