#1
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Good time to fold AA?
A hand from an hour ago...
UB $10+1 $5K Guaranteed MTT Hero has 4885. BB has 1500. UTG has 970. UTG+1 has 1555. MP1 has 2530. MP2 has 2860. MP3 has 5235. CO has 1960. Button has 2125. Hero posts small blind of 20. BB posts big blind of 40. Pre-flop: Hero is dealt: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG folds, UTG+1 calls 40, MP1 folds, MP2 calls 40, MP3 calls 40, CO folds, Button folds, Hero raises to 240, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP2 calls 200, MP3 calls 200. Pot = 800. Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Hero bets 800, MP2 goes all-in for 2620, MP3 folds Pot = 4220. 1820 more to call. Hero ??? |
#2
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
no.
call. |
#3
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
def call
hes either got the flush draw or some overpair like pocket 10s, both of which you are a favorite to win. |
#4
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
Tourney's still going and I'm in 5th with 83 players remaining!
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#5
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
Medium pockets are also strong possibilities, I think.
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#6
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
Is a set totally out of the question here? Do we ever give a bet such as this the repect it asks for or do we need a strong read before that could ever be right?
-sloth |
#7
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
Ummmmm, not a good fold. What had do you think the all-in guy holds that beats you? 66, 44 not likely. I would say a medium overpair like 88-TT or a strong flush draw, i.e. AQc or KQc. Not to mention you're getting almost 3:1 to call here. This is a simple call and a bad fold. You called, right?
KP22 |
#8
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
EAsy call.
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#9
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
His all in bet screams larger overpair, perhaps drawing to nut flush. Very unlikely for him to play a set like this. I'd have to say AcKc , Ac Qc , JJ or 1010 as all likely hands for villian which would make calling the correct decision.
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#10
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Re: Good time to fold AA?
My knee jerk reation from reading the history was Ax with the x hitting the flop or ace with paint. I would put this as a possible for a middle pair, but would lean towards the Ax maybe with a flush draw Ax.
Set is definately a possible, but I think more likely based on the betting pattern it is a weak hand that hit thinking the others are playing ace high poker on a raised pot. I would say less than 25% of the time have I called this or seen this type of hand called was there a set with that all in bet on the flop. If it was a flat call and then a all-in on the turn or river then I would be thinking more of a set, but still would be putting the all-in on weak ace that hit the flop or if this push was on the turn or river a ace with paint that is being over played. Now if this was a $100 buy-in, things change. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] |
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