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#2
09-26-2004, 09:57 PM
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Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
Atm you can get 2 to 1 for Kerry at
http://www.tradesports.com 
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#4
09-26-2004, 10:53 PM
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Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
I read in Amarillio Slim's book that you would make money if you always bet on the underdog.
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#5
09-27-2004, 04:17 AM
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Joe Public
The public tends, in general, to underestimate the dog and overestimate the favorite. There's a lot to be said about this and the APs therein. But to claim, as Amarillo Slim does, that always betting the dog will make you a winner is a very dangerous, if not unsound, proposition.
(Maybe that last word explains what Slim was on about.)
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#6
09-27-2004, 01:35 PM
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Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
[ QUOTE ]
Personally I never make a bet that I would be unhappy to win. [/ QUOTE ] Why? I bet on Europe to win the Ryder Cup (golf) at 2/1 odds. It was the easiest money I've made all year.
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#7
09-27-2004, 01:46 PM
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Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
To complete your thought you would have preferred a U.S. victory. I agree with your sentiment. When I bet on a particular outcome that I don't want to happen I always state I hope I'm dead wrong but ...
BTW I think I'd take Kerry at those odds. Even though many of his supporters have given up, I think the election could easily swing in his favor. Kerry's strategy now seems to be to convince enough people that only a total incompetant boob would have put the U.S. in the position that they're in as far as Iraq is concerned. Kerry's already got at least 40% of the electorate convinced of that. Trashing Allawi was a horrid move by the Democrats. The undecideds want to at least have the hope that Kerry will deliver on his promises of a diplomatic solution (we can argue if that's what Kerry's really saying) but I dare say that the Kerry and Democratic party actions regarding Allawi would dash those hopes for at least a few.
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