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-   -   John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=128620)

eric5148 09-26-2004 09:47 PM

John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
 
Do you think this is a good bet?

Plzr 09-26-2004 09:57 PM

Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
 
Atm you can get 2 to 1 for Kerry at
http://www.tradesports.com

Jimbo 09-26-2004 10:06 PM

Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do you think this is a good bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Personally I never make a bet that I would be unhappy to win.

Jimbo

theBruiser500 09-26-2004 10:53 PM

Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
 
I read in Amarillio Slim's book that you would make money if you always bet on the underdog.

Cyrus 09-27-2004 04:17 AM

Joe Public
 
The public tends, in general, to underestimate the dog and overestimate the favorite. There's a lot to be said about this and the APs therein. But to claim, as Amarillo Slim does, that always betting the dog will make you a winner is a very dangerous, if not unsound, proposition.

(Maybe that last word explains what Slim was on about.)

eric5148 09-27-2004 01:35 PM

Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
 
[ QUOTE ]
Personally I never make a bet that I would be unhappy to win.


[/ QUOTE ]

Why? I bet on Europe to win the Ryder Cup (golf) at 2/1 odds. It was the easiest money I've made all year.

adios 09-27-2004 01:46 PM

Re: John Kerry: 7/4 odds to win
 
To complete your thought you would have preferred a U.S. victory. I agree with your sentiment. When I bet on a particular outcome that I don't want to happen I always state I hope I'm dead wrong but ...

BTW I think I'd take Kerry at those odds. Even though many of his supporters have given up, I think the election could easily swing in his favor. Kerry's strategy now seems to be to convince enough people that only a total incompetant boob would have put the U.S. in the position that they're in as far as Iraq is concerned. Kerry's already got at least 40% of the electorate convinced of that. Trashing Allawi was a horrid move by the Democrats. The undecideds want to at least have the hope that Kerry will deliver on his promises of a diplomatic solution (we can argue if that's what Kerry's really saying) but I dare say that the Kerry and Democratic party actions regarding Allawi would dash those hopes for at least a few.


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