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  #1  
Old 07-01-2005, 03:46 PM
DBowling DBowling is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 287
Default Re: Bet or check this river?

[ QUOTE ]
I consider the river bet to be a steal. Its not a value bet, but it can be +EV because of the size of the pot.

[/ QUOTE ]
You are correct, this is where we differ. I think if you are attempting to steal with AK high you are making a mistake in most instances. This may work against an opponent who chases underpairs to the river and then gives up. However, in my experience, most dont give up. Dont try to bluff a calling station.

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You were analyzing whether the bet in a bubble; as if the pot were 0 BB. But it's not.

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again, if we are talking about a value bet, the size of the pot does not matter. if it is a steal, you are correct, pot size must be taken into consideration.
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  #2  
Old 07-01-2005, 03:51 PM
SippinSoma SippinSoma is offline
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Location: Klepton Was Here
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Default Re: Bet or check this river?

Great. And FWIW, Hero didn't list any worthwhile stats here, so everything is completely up in the air. A WTSD would have been nice.

Seacrest out.
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  #3  
Old 07-01-2005, 04:18 PM
TiltsMcFabulous TiltsMcFabulous is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 210
Default Re: Bet or check this river?

[ QUOTE ]
Great. And FWIW, Hero didn't list any worthwhile stats here, so everything is completely up in the air. A WTSD would have been nice.

Seacrest out.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTSD = 69%

Villian was a station. I had seen him call with A high before, but generally he just mindlessly calls with any pair or hope of improvement.

I think the river bet was a poor choice.
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