#11
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
like i said, i agree, i would not push. but believe it's not a horrible play
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#12
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
What Am I missing here? This is the brunson move, but without the nut flush and 6 more outs to the str8, for a total o 15.
At those stakes, it is possible that you get Ax-d to fold to a buy in allin but down at NL25, the brunson move has proven me to be if not completely innefective, not lucrative. I have made the movet to get beat by mid pairs with crap kickers and even bottom pairs. In most situations where you dont have a Calling station filled table, this is EV+, so it is a good move. If you have reads of more than one calling station at your table dont do it, because it is painful to see that hand beat by a pair of sevens. But if you can handle pain, PUSH! |
#13
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
I'm inclined to fold here. Your diamond outs are no good and even if you do hit your non-diamond straight card, you will still have to worry about a diamond or board-pairing redraw.
Flame away, but I think this is the right play. |
#14
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
I'm glad someone else suggested to fold - I was thinking along these lines, as well. Everything the poster has stated about the opponents seems to lead to trouble. Since there has been bet, a raise and a reraise, I'd say the chances you can get them all to fold is fairly close to zero. If you just call, who is to say that UTG or SB won't raise again? I think I certainly either lay this one down or push, and I lean toward the former.
Ryan |
#15
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
Someone else has the stronger diamond draw and hero is [censored] if he pushes, that's all.
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#16
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
People will not fold the flush draw here, especially if it looks like its going to be a multi-way all in fest.
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#17
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
This is a good example of why you shouldn't play suited connectors UTG+1.
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#18
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
It looks like playing 9-10 diamonds at this table is pretty +EV from how this hand went preflop... maybe you should italicize the "you" though and you'd have a case(?)
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#19
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
Preflop isn't the spot where you are hoping to get priced in to chase your draw.
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#20
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Re: MONSTER DRAW in an unraised pot
let me rephrase: in these table conditions it certainly looks like 9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] will be profitable from UTG+1.
Are you folding 910 suited at a loose-passive table like this when you expect many limpers? |
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