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Old 10-10-2005, 02:14 PM
jogumon jogumon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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Default Re: 50/100 - QQ in EP, capped pre-flop

[ QUOTE ]
Turn bet isn't too hot either.

[/ QUOTE ]

The more I think about it, the more I agree the turn bet sucks. Check/fold.

The only hands I can picutre OP being ahead of here are 99 and TT. We can't even be sure 99 would 3 bet pre flop so mostly TT. If that's the case, we are only a 4-1 dog to his range of hands, and the pot is laying 6-1. However, adjust this for how villain would play the flop with 99 or TT.

You capped pre flop against 2 players. You almost certainly have a premium hand, (AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK). After that flop, what hands can villain put you on that he beats? Pretty much nothing. He's a standard TAG. If he does have TT or 99, he almost certainly folds the flop. Adjusting your 4-1 odds against his pre flop hand range according to his flop play, and you're probably closer to a 40-1 dog (or worse) against his revised range. Give up and move on.
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