NL100 Hand: Fold bottom set here?

[Sephus]

[ QUOTE ]
AA would likely play this the same way - I think you have to get stacked here

[/ QUOTE ]

i disagree completely. UTG is very likely to bet the flop with AA.

i would have gotten stacked here because i would have been betting/raising on every street.

once you get to the river on this hand, it's a question of how often he calls a river raise with a hand that you beat.

on the river i'm putting him on AK, KQ, JJ. it doesn't look much like a bluff. i don't think a raise is terrible, just depends on how loose you think he is.

[subzero]

The whole reason for calling a preflop raise with 33 is to flop a set (and you did). I'd need to have a really strong read to lay this one down. Betting the flop might help to define your hand for the turn and river. Without any reads, I probably would've pushed on the turn or river. I'm okay with losing to an overset, but I'd be pretty upset if I folded, only to have top pair or two-pair shown to me.